Kamis, 31 Maret 2011

Energizer Bunny

Looks like it's only the Energizer Bunny that keeps going and going. I'm still struggling to get better, but in the mean time, Flo is saving my bacon. The robustness of Flo is critical. During my enforced downtime, I've been surfing the web to look at what's new in auto trading. There seems to be a lot of robots being offered with what can only be curve fitted inputs. I'm seeing people saying that as soon as they go live, the robot starts losing.

The process of creating a robust and profitable algo is a lot more complex than at first meets the eye. It's not until you have failed that you can even know the questions to ask, not just the answers. It's a whole different thing. Being CP is, I think, a prerequisite to creating a successful algo, as without the real world experience it's like doing brain surgery as a computer game.

My focus in creating Flo has always been to make her logic both timeframe and market agnostic. It had to be based on the way I trade, as I know it works and won't fall apart. The wild card in any algo is the variation in volatility which impacts both stops and targets. Flo had to be profitable in spite of these variables. I advocate Hybrid Trading to take the win rate and profitability to a level that makes it possible to build on the pluses of an algo with discretionary trading.

To become a CP discretionary trader, the same testing is needed as is needed to create an algo. All the comments for algos apply equally to discretionary trading. The added value is created when you put the two together in the form of what I call Hybrid Trading.

The Euro was trading the same as it has thee last few days. It allowed an Outside in trade with very low risk: Trade #5. Order flow ran out of puff and the short rally was over and gave the opportunity.

March New Experts


BOBBY FLAY and STEVE ELLS (W Barrett)

Bobby Flay is one of America’s top chefs and restaurant owners. Currently Flay owns six high-end restaurants that gross millions of dollars yearly and five fast casual dining called Bobby’s Burger Palace. At the age of 17, Flay took a job at Joe Allen’s restaurant where his father was a partner. Mr. Allen was highly impressed with Flay that he paid for his tuition to the French Culinary Institute. Flay currently acts as a spokesperson and Master Chef for the school. Over the past several years, Flay has become partners in opening up restaurants, including Mesa Grill and BOLO. Flay has published three books since 1994. These include Bold American Food, From My Kitchen to Your Table, and Boy Meets Grill. Flay has also launched and starred in three national cooking shows. They include Grillin’ & Chillin’ on Food Network, The Main Ingredient with Bobby Flay on Lifetime, and Hot Off the Grill with Bobby Flay on Food Network. He has an “incredible ability to create and retain the individual characteristics of each of his projects, keeping them unique and always one step ahead of the trend” (Star Chefs). He is now the leading investor in the new hit series on NBC’s, America’s Great Next Restaurant.
            Steve Ells founded Chipotle in 1993 with a loan from his father for $85,000. He is the co-Chief Executive Officer and was appointed Chairman of the Board in 2005. Prior to the launch of Chipotle, Ells worked for two years at Stars restaurant in San Francisco. Ells graduated from the University of Colorado with a Bachelors of Art degree in art history. He is also a 1990 graduate from the Culinary Institute of America. He is also [SB1] currently a top investor on the new hit series on NBC’s, America’s Great Next Restaurant.
            The investors on America’s Great Next Restaurant are looking for the best concept to invest millions of dollars into opening three restaurants in Los Angeles, Minneapolis, and New York City. There are key and critical components that the investors are currently looking for in the business plans to make the concept work. One of the key concepts is the name. With the name of the company, it must represent who the owner is and the concept the owner is trying to portray. It must connect the food concept with the name. The owner must be careful in not offending a certain age group. For example, a competitor on the show has a concept called Saucy Balls. It could potentially be offensive to the older generation and not be inviting to that demographic. Another concept was named W3’s (Woods, Waffles, and Wings), however, a gumbo dish was prepared and wasn’t incorporated with the name. If the name of the company does not connect with the food product, consumers will be confused and potentially not return to the restaurant.
            The logo must be simple and to the point in order for it to be appealing. It must also connect with the food concept. The logo must be unique, eye catching, and mouth watering. A unique logo idea without a connection to the product is not appealing to the consumers. Meltworks, a grilled cheese company in the competition had a logo derived around a machinery concept. The investors did not understand the connection between the two. A logo that has a lot of writing surrounding the name is very unattractive. The logo must be short, concise, and too the point.
            The slogan needs to be catchy and unique. The slogan needs to take the consumer on a journey and needs to be well rounded with the concept. It needs to a short, simple phrase that connects the name, logo, food concept, and what the business is all in one. Creativity is key in developing the name, logo, and slogan. Without each of these developed first, there is no concept for the business.
The pitfalls have surrounded[SB2]  around the concept of the company, the marketability, the ability of teamwork, the leadership skills, and the communication. Each of the investors has seen pitfalls in each of the contestants on the show. Pitfalls will come when developing a business plan. In order to invest in a company, the business owner must be willing to take critical advice and risks.
            There must be a concept for the company that is unique and marketable. Without a concept that is marketable, there is no chance in surviving in the competition. The business owner must have the confidence, drive, and passion in the business concept. An unclear concept makes it hard for investors to invest millions of dollars into a business plan with no vision and marketing plan. For example, a bar-b-que joint needs to remain focused on bar-b-que and not stray from the concept to grilled meats. The owner must have a solid concept before investors will invest. It must also be communicated properly for the investors to want to take a risk with the business concept.
             The company must have a marketable aspect in order to gain exposure and consumers attention. The idea must have a marketing plan available for all generations in various regions. For example, an idea focused around selling soups as the main product would not work easily in parts of the country that are warm year round. The turnover rate would be too high to invest in a product that doesn’t work around the country. Geography and demographics are important in determining the product that will be developed and made.
             The ability to work in a team is critical and you must possess outstanding leadership skills. Investors are willing to work with you in order to make the company a success. They will give critical advice and you need to be willing to listen and accept the advice that is given. A business owner cannot afford to be resistant to investors. The owner must also be able to show leadership skills in tough situations and take risks. An example is firing a head chef in order for the concept to have an opportunity. Being a risk taker with outstanding leadership skills will impress investors.
            Flay and Ells have been in the restaurant industry for many years and have a clear understanding of what it takes to be successful. They have differing opinions in which they believe should advance in the show. Flay is looking for the determination, drive, and ambition in the business concept. Ells is looking for the quality of food in the business concept. Together they make a great team in finding the various reasons of why they believe the contestants should advance and they invest millions of dollars into the business plan.




PATTI BROTHERTON and CHUCK BLAKEMAN (TJ Christian)

            Patti Brotherton has been a licensed Realtor for 24 years. She has been on the #1 sales list and has led many companies to the top. (Brotherton, n.d.) She has worked to earn many dollars for people she has worked with and herself. Besides a Realtor, she helps many others become successful. Mrs. Brotherton grew up in a family with a mother that set goals and understood how they work. She used that information that was shown to her to provide success in her career. She stated in an article from IRED, International Real Estate Digest, that she takes a few days at the end/beginning of each year to sit down and reflect on what has happened over the last year and the goals that need to be set for the next year. She plans them out, sets a time and date for those that are needed and puts together a plan. “When you have a business plan written down along with your goals for the year. You have all the makings for a tremendously successful year! Especially since you calendared all the activities necessary to make it so.” (Brotherton, n.d.)
            Chuck Blakeman, on the other hand, is an example of those that do not back the business plan. Chuck Blakeman is an entrepreneur and heads the business of Crankset Group. Mr. Blakeman states, “The #1 key to success is the speed of execution.” (Blakeman, 2011) He believes that it is not the hours spent writing up information about your business and the days spent gathering data that may, or may not be, correct. Mr. Blakeman believes that it is actually stepping out and taking on the venture when the idea is brought to life. Once you begin your journey, if there is something to tweak, then you can change that as you go and perfect things as they come. “Implement now, perfect as you go.” (Blakeman, 2010) Chuck Blakeman believes that one will waste too much time sitting down and thinking about how a business will perform. Rather than wasting that time, start your business and sit down from time to time and write down some things that are working or not working for your business.
            One of the main reasons people develop a business plan are because of funding. Reasons were stated in research as to why people write business plans, but more of the reasons included funding. Investors need to see that they are gaining from their investment. If they have proof that the investment will actually make them money, they are more likely to put their money in the investment. A business plan answers the questions about the company that investors have and shows the investor that you are organized and have done research. Other reasons stated by an article from Small Business were that business plans help to identify potential problems and help solve issues before they begin. (Ellyn, n.d.) No business plan is going to solve all problems for a business by any means, but the planning and implementing of a business plan will bring out many of the problems that may arise and allow a business owner to face those problems and change things accordingly.
            Both people stated above have opposite views of business plans and how they work. A similarity, however, is that each one still believes you have to have goals for a business to be successful. Even Chuck Blakeman said, “Knowing the end goal is extremely important – knowing beforehand the path for how you will get there is fortune-telling.” (Blakeman, 2011) Even though you may not want to set a path before you begin, you still have to know where you are going.


NIC BRISBOURNE (Cunningham)

There were two main articles that I read regarding business plans and their importance and what they should encompass.  The first article was “Understanding How a Business Plan Is Read” written by Nic Brisbourne.  Nic Brisbourne is a partner of DFJ Esprit, which is “a single team of partners all of whom benefit from and contribute to the success of our investments.  They are entrepreneurs ourselves and we are proud to have built our firm to its current size and are passionate about continually moving forward, which means backing winning companies and doing everything we can to help them achieve and exceed their ambitions.”  (http://www.dfjesprit.com/about-us/).  His focus is consumer applications and services. 
            In this article he focuses on a quote that was spoken at a conference he attended, “We all know that business plans are a sub-genre of science fiction.”  Nic identifies the validity of this quote on two levels: 1) At the start of any plan, something will change and the numbers will come in under or over; and 2) a lot of business plans are written with a view to raising investment and contain a lot of forward looking thinking designed to excite and inspire like science fiction. (Brisbourne, p. 1).
One important fact that he brings out is an entrepreneur spends a long time creating the business plan, an investor reads it quickly.  This statement has made me re-evaluate my plan and how it is written.  I have to write it from not only my perspective of what I think it should be but also the investor’s perspective.  Nic mentions that a business plan does help to clarify and enhance thoughts and plans about a business, which is very important.  If you really don’t know what your plans are, you cannot effectively convey them to potential partners and investors. As an investor, Nic mentions the parts of the business plan that he looks at when deciding whether to go for that first meeting:

·      Summary of product
·      Evidence of momentum
·      Summary of Financials
·      Evidence of Ambition
·      Market Dynamics description

After reading this article, I realize there are certain sections that hold higher precedence over other sections and it is important that the key points that investors want to know are descriptive but concise, and effective in their message.
            The next article was found on AllBusiness.com, which is the world's largest online resource for small businesses, providing essential tools and resources to start, grow, and manage your business.  This site has contributors from all over the world with vast knowledge and wisdom on business and business start-up.  This article was entitled, “Top 10 Tips for Writing Your Business Plan[SB3] ”.  Out of the ten tips mentioned in the article, there were a few that I thought were important and useful as I complete my plan.
            The first tip mentioned was one that I think is most important, “Create A Vision”.  Outlining a clear vision and a coherent set of values for your company is the first step before the details are created.  An investor should be able to clearly identify the vision of my company from the first few pages of my plan.  The details should be created around the ultimate vision of the company and its mission.  The vision should be clearly defined and used to identify the goals and priorities.  This vision should be easily identified through the Executive Summary of the business plan.
            The next tip was “a budget isn’t the same thing as a plan”.  A key point of a budget is that it must be realistic based on the industry, customers, competitors, and market conditions.  A budget should be the product of all the other elements of my plan.  Additional research in the areas mentioned above may need to be conducted to ensure the budget submitted is realistic, not just one that “looks good” to investors.  In today’s economy, you have to take the market and economic situation of potential customers into consideration in preparing your budget.  Elevated sales or growth in sales may not be as realistic in these tumultuous economic times as they would have been 7-10 years ago.
            The next tip of being prepared to take risks is something that business start-up encompasses and cannot be avoided.  Starting a business is a risk, but the key is preparing for those risks, understanding the risks and most importantly, managing the risks.  As an owner, your business plan should anticipate possible challenges but having a proactive plan to manage those challenges.  One thing the article mentions is that there’s a difference between a calculated risk and recklessness and your plan can make that distinction.  A reckless plan will not get the results or attention from investors that you desire, so it’s very important to look at the risks carefully and determine the proper plan to deal with the risks so that the risks don’t overtake your business.
            The final tip that I think is very important as well is “expect the unexpected”.  The article notes that every business plan needs some wiggle room to allow for unexpected changes.  Just like managing risks is important, so is managing the unexpected.  The key to being a new business owner and starting a business is to be flexible.  A new business will not always go as planned or as written so as an owner, I must be flexible to change different plans that may not be as effective as initially proposed.  As an owner, you must adapt to change and also be open to suggestions and critiques from your employees, partners and outside persons that may help your business.





DONALD TRUMP and OPRAH WINFREY (N Gerecitano)

            When people think of business, many names come to mind, but there are two that are consistently near the top of the list.  Those names are Donald Trump and Oprah Winfrey.  Each of these people is known for their vast empires that they have built.  Both have major television shows focused on them, with Mr. Trump’s show focusing specifically on business and showing how well the contestants can handle running a company.
            Growing up, Mr. Trump was an energetic child and his parents wanted to help him focus that energy into a disciplined mentality.  They sent him to the New York Military Academy at age 13 and he rose to be a start athlete and leader among the student body.  He then went on to graduate from the University of Pennsylvania with a degree in Economics and eventually followed in his father’s footsteps and entered the real estate industry. (Donald Trump, 2011)
            Ms. Winfrey grew up in a troubled home in Mississippi where she was repeatedly sexually abused by family members and friends of her mother.  She was eventually able to move away to Nashville to live with her father Vernon, a barber and businessman.  In 1971, she entered Tennessee State University and started working in radio and television broadcasting.  In 1986, Oprah launched “The Oprah Show” and in its first year, it grossed $125 million in profit.  Oprah received $30 million of that for herself and decided to take control of her show from ABC under her Harpo production company.  For years, she has had one of the highest grossing daytime television shows in history. (Oprah Winfrey, 2011)
            Donald Trump’s stance on business plans is fairly simple:  with a business plan, there is a direction and focus. (Williams, 2009)  This is such a simple sentence, but it makes complete sense.  If there is no business plan, then there is no focus for your business and you are bound to fail.  With a plan, you know where you are going, what you are doing, and how you will get where you want to be.  The biggest pitfall mentioned is not making a business plan at all.  Trump says that if there is no business plan, then the business is bound to fail.  It makes sense, especially in this economy that investors would want to see a business plan before investing their funds.  Without the plan, any entrepreneur would not even be able to get their feet off the ground.
            Oprah’s view on a Business plan is very similar to what has been taught throughout the entire program at Full Sail.  She says that writing a business plan will “force you to consider the what-ifs and tiny costs you might overlook”. (Brewster, 2007)  She also says that a business plan will force you to see what you need to change to finally start making money with your business.  This is probably the best advice and possibly the biggest pitfall mentioned.  This is good advice to follow because a business plan is really a living thing.  It grows and changes just like we do and the economy.  It is a pitfall because if we cannot adapt our plans to the current economic climate, then we will most certainly fail.
            The advice from these two people is definitely worth taking to heart.  While Donald basically says you have to have a plan or else you will fail, Oprah says that you need to monitor it and adjust it so that you will succeed.  These are two different views on business plans but both are saying the same basic information:  make sure you have a good, solid business plan so that you do not lose focus on your ultimate goals.  This is the ultimate goal of any new entrepreneur.
            Looking at what Donald and Oprah have said about business plans just reinforces how important these plans really are in the business world.  I knew going in to this program that I would be working on a business plan as my final project and did not really understand what all that meant.  When the program first started, I even sat down with the president and founder of the company I currently work for, Charley Humbard, to try and gain an understanding of how someone in the entertainment industry actually started a successful television network.  He mentioned his business plan and how he had to modify it as well as the finances needed to start the network, but eventually he found the support and financial backing he needed as well as competent and well respected people to help start the company.  I know now that I need to, especially in this economy, focus on the numbers for finance to ensure that I am not asking for too much or too little.  If I want to start a production company with a fully functional studio, I know it cannot be done for $100,000 and so will investors.  I also know it would not take 10 million dollars to open a small studio and edit facility, so I should not bother asking for that much or else investors will wonder what I am wasting their money on.  Charley said his initial business plan started at a $1 million investment and eventually worked its way up to $29 million before he actually was able to sell the idea of the network.  From the information gained from Donald, Oprah, and Charley, I know that a good plan is one that is focused and shows exactly what the company will be doing and how much to realistically charge for services.  This information will help me create a more solid business plan that investors will actually take the time to look at and possibly invest in.  Now that I understand the importance of a business plan and have heard success stories from people within the industry, I know what I have to do to make mine stand apart from the rest.  If I can follow what these experts have said and use the knowledge I have gained from this program, I know I will be able to start my own successful business in the near future.


MARK ZWILLING (J Kaplan)

       Mark Zwilling is CEO & Founder of Startup Professionals, Inc., Haman Ventures Board Member and Executive in Residence; Advisory Board Member for multiple startups; Arizona Angels Selection Committee; Entrepreneur in Residence at ASU and Thunderbird School of Global Management. He has been published in Forbes, Harvard Business Review, and Business Insider. His article, Top Ten Investor Turnoffs Around Business Plans from his blog discusses things that investors want you to avoid in your business plan.
       Zwilling’s view on what key components must be included in the plan are:

·      The Executive Summary.  Zwilling says some investors will not look at a plan that does not contain the Executive Summary.
·      Make sure the business plan is actually a plan. 
·      Plans that are actually production specifications are not what the investor is looking for.
·      Professionalism is important.  Make sure your plan is free of typos, misspelling and other errors.
·      Keeping the length of the plan around 20 pages seems to work.

        Zwilling listed a number of other pitfalls to avoid, but the reason why including an Executive Summary is key is because the investors want that snapshot right up front before they look at the rest of the plan.  It is important because if it is missing, your plan will be tossed.  More does not have to be said about the importance of an error free and professional looking plan.  The point about the plan containing an actual business plan, and not a format or draft for another element of your business or business process is also important.


MARK CUBAN (B Lojewski)

            Mark Cuban is the owner of the Dallas Mavericks from the NBA, Landmark Theatres, and the chairman of HDNet.  (Forbes) As a child growing up in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Mark already explored business ideas and continued this path throughout his professional career.  Mark was not given any particular types of advantages and has made himself in to an extremely successful businessman.  He graduated from Indiana University with a bachelor’s degree in business administration.  (Forbes) Mark has had his hand in several business opportunities and is a billionaire entrepreneur.  He also has acted as an investor in many different companies (including startups).   One of his best areas of business is dealing with business revolving around the Internet. (Forbes)
            Perhaps the best way to view how these two experts view business plans is by watching them deal with potential investment opportunities on “Shark Tank”.  Some of the key aspects these two look for in a business plans is if there is an actual need for the product or service.  They then look to see if there is  a market for the specific product or service.  Another important aspect they will examine is the track record of the person looking for the investment as well as the financial record of the business itself (if there is one available).  They will then look to see if the business model has room for potential growth and will consult with the person pitching the product about the potential growth.  Finally, they will determine what they can bring to the business financially and with their particular expertise.  Business plans that are extremely well developed and produced tend to do much better in gaining either of these experts interest as an investor.  These particular concepts are considered key as they demonstrate a well thoughtout business plan.  Both experts look for preparation in business plans as a key to see if the business could potentially be something they want to be apart of through investing.
            Throughout the show itself, both experts will poke holes and find pitfalls in the preparation of business plans.  Not having projections of finances in advance is a huge issue for both of these experts as they will be weary to invest in something that is not configured properly.  Even if there is no true financial track record,  they would much rather have some type of projection.  If there is no financial information provided they would most likely not have any interest in the business. (Shark Tank)
            Even though both Mark and Daymond have some key similarities in how they invest and view business plans, there are still some key differences between the two.  Mark tends to be a little more aggressive in how he deals with potential investment opportunities.  Since some of his key backgrounds deal with Internet sales he likes to invest in businesses that have some type of relation to it[SB4] .  Daymond approaches business plans in a slightly more relaxed manner.  Much like Mark, he tends to deal with business plans that are suited to his expertise, which is fashion.  However, he is no stranger to other types of business models and plans.  (Shark Tank)


FRANK GOLEY (T Miller)

The second person I researched was Frank Goley. Frank alongside Mary McCoy started “ABC Business Consulting.” Frank has been creating business plans and personally managing businesses for over twenty years. Frank has written several books and has more on the way.
            Investors looking at plans these days have thousands to choose from. The number of people out their looking for money is staggering. All investors are looking at different aspects of a business plan because not all investors are looking to accomplish the same thing. Some investors are looking to make a quick dollar while others are looking for a long-term growth opportunity. There are, however, several items that most all investors agree upon, including Dave Lavinsky and Frank Goley. These categories include passion, market segment, management team, revenue model, and return on investment.
These concepts are considered key due to their importance of the overall success of a current or future business. Passion is key for investors looking to make money in a business in a “hands off” manner. Since the investor will not take an active roll in the management of the company, they want to be assured the person running the operation is passionate about success. Market segment is important because it will define how large your business can grow in the current state of its particular industry. Management team is another key concept because the experts agree that a company can be built or collapse on the actions of a management team alone. This is proven through former corporations such as Enron and Lehman Brothers. According to Dave Lavinsky, revenue model is the most important concept an investor should look for. The revenue model will tell you how the company makes money, how goods and services are bought and sold, and how the consumer will interact to the company. Lastly, all investors are looking for money, however the experts do not always agree that the return on investment is always the most important aspect of a businesses plan.
According to Dave and Frank, perhaps the biggest pitfall that individuals and companies face with business plans is communication and execution. A business plan must be well written, laid out, formatted, and tailored to your audience. Dave says the number one reason people lose investors that are interested is due to communication. They do not portray their business plan in a smooth, logical manner. According to Dave, people also do not present well. He says the number one mistake people make when presenting a business plan is they start spitting out numbers, facts, and figures. Investors want to know that information, however they want to hear about your business, they want you to talk about your industry, this shows the investors that you have experience and have thoroughly researched your industry. 
            In addition to communication, the second biggest pitfall agreed upon by the experts is execution. While many look at execution as a “post business plan problem,” Frank Goley says it’s a serious problem that occurs in the planning and development of the business plan itself. Franks motto is “plan, consult, implement.” He points out that to many people spend their effort trying to develop a great business plan or describe what they are going to do and they do not put enough thought and energy into how they are going to do it. Frank tells clients that the majority of your business plan should focus around two things. Your market and your business model strategy. Your market tells you whom you are targeting and your business model tells you how. Without both of these clearly defined in your business plan, you will fail during the execution stage.
            Another huge pitfall that Dave and Frank talked about, as well as several other experts’ talk about is “burning need.” A person can have the greatest idea in the world, a phenomenal business plan, passion, and capital, however, if the product or service does not meet a burning need in the lives of the consumer, you will undoubtedly fail.
            Dave Lavinsky and Frank Goley both believe that business plans are the corner block to a healthy, long lasting business. They firmly believe that the business plan is the document that you develop, that in turn becomes your “playbook” on running your business. Once completed properly, the business plan will walk you through step by step how to run and manage your business, how and where to market and advertise, as well as provide reminders for you and your employees such as the companies mission or long-term milestones you wish to achieve.


 [SB1]Not too many also’s
 [SB2]Not sure what you are saying here.
 [SB3]Who wrote it?
 [SB4]People like to invest in sectors they know.

Rabu, 30 Maret 2011

Two Cities, One Week: Charlotte, North Carolina

[Cross-posted from the Hotpot Community Blog]

Fresh off launching business outreach and support in Madison yesterday, we’re now adding our fifth city to the mix: Charlotte, North Carolina. Starting today, we’ll offer dedicated support for the more than 40,000 local businesses in the Charlotte area, helping them get noticed on Google and get more customers at their door.

More than 20 percent of all searches on Google each day have a local intent, and we want to make it as easy as possible for Charlotte businesses to get discovered whether folks are looking for BBQ, furniture stores or electricians. We’ve already begun sending the Places starter kits directly to local businesses. In addition to instructions on how to make the most of Google’s free online tools, it also features some ideas on how to get your customers to share their great experiences by rating and reviewing your business on Google. If you don’t receive a kit within the next few days, any Charlotte area business can also request one for free through the Google Places Catalog.

And, for businesses that are already “Recommended on Google,” we’re also including our NFC-enabled window decals that allow anyone with an NFC-enabled device, such as the Nexus S, to tap their phone against the decal and see all the relevant information about that business.

We’re excited to be in kicking things off in Charlotte and look forward to working with its great business community over the next several months.

Posted by Sameer Mahmood, Local Marketing Team

Totally off topic post

I was having a debate on another blog about the hydrogen economy.
I created this post so the debate could move over here and not clutter up someone else's blog.

for rocket news we will be testing the printed SS motor this weekend, and we will be presenting at space access.

Also good luck to team armadillo and the tube rocket.

Trading Against the 'Bots

During my enforced distance from the markets, I've been holed up in my bed with my iPad surfing the net. There are lots of people in the trading world complaining they can't make money anymore. Yet, I'm having the best of times and both readers and students seem to be hitting sixes (if you play cricket) or out of the park (if you're a baseball fan).


Most of the complaints involve a whinge against high frequency trading and the 'bots of the big boys. Some of these bots not only look at market activity but are plugged into news feeds. The bots can jump on the markets when the news hits and before a human can even read the news, not to mention interpret it. A couple of links below a relevant to this.


http://www.zerohedge.com/article/alpha-flash-all-your-algorithmic-frontrunning-needs


http://blog.themistrading.com/?p=2286


Of course we know that everyone has their own agenda and we need to examine what has been written and not believe everything we read. However, the world and all activity is in a constant state of evolution. Was it Darwin who said that he who doesn't change, dies?


Anyway, I made my first trade in about 1964. I remember the trade - I bought 100 shares in a boat builder called "Brooker" making 16%. Ever since then the markets and how they are traded have evolved- from reading prices in newspapers, to using quotemasters (looked like a huge calculator), to downloading daily data from CSI in Boca Raton, to using 5 minute intra-day data, to tick charts, to range bars, to HFT. We have had to evolve to survive. The current trading at the speed of thought is no different. It's just another revolution of evolution.


The market is the market and price is the result of the activity of buyers and sellers. This has always been and always will be the case. The fact that the speed of activity is hyper does not change that. All it means is that our technique must change to compete.


It seems to me that there are two main choices. One is to move to a much higher time frame to avoid the hyper activity, and the other is to move to a lower time frame to get closer to it. If we move to a higher time frame then the capital requirements increase dramatically, as both our holding time and out stop loss must increase. It's also a lot harder to see where the market is going in the next few hours or days than it is to decipher where it is going in the next minutes, at least it is for me.


So the solution for me is to get closer to the action. I have done this by reducing the periodicity of my range bars and by using a 'bot to be able to react more quickly and consistently to market action.


Being a believer that discretionary trading is the ultimate way to trade,  I isolated the issues. Finding and executing the optimum entries resolves the issues of being too slow or not being skilled enough.Pprogramming some trade management rules while still allowing discretionary trade management resolves the main issue: a tested, pre-qualified trading methodology.


So the answer to trading against the 'bots? If you can't beat them, join them!


Today's chart of the Euro future shows how Flo nailed the entries. Managing the trades was easy. Whether you want to run the sequence and trade every peak and trough or whether you want to run the sequence scaling out, it can be done manually or by the 'bot. I'm still not fully over my flu so I left it mostly to Flo, unless I noticed something I really couldn't stand. The arrows are Flo's.



Selasa, 29 Maret 2011

Google Canada offers SMBs a 'net'

Small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs) are the heart and soul of the Canadian economy. There are over 2 million SMBs in Canada; And even though more than 80% of the Canadian population is online, we estimate that only 1.2 million of these businesses have websites. What’s more, our research shows that of the small businesses that are not yet online, 70% would consider establishing and developing a website if it was easy to do and free of charge.


We have seen firsthand how SMBs grow and flourish when they maintain an online presence -- and we firmly believe all Canadian businesses should benefit from online technologies. So, we want to help ensure that all Canadian SMBs have access to the tools and resources necessary for creating websites and marketing online.


Today we’re announcing the ‘Canada Get Your Businesses Online’ (GYBO.ca) program. GYBO.ca is a joint effort by Google, RBC, The Globe and Mail, Rogers, CIRA, Canadian Chamber of Commerce, Silver Lining Limited, and Yola.com, to help SMBs create websites and understand the vast opportunities of online marketing. Over the next year, we hope to help 100,000 Canadian businesses build websites and reach customers online.


If you’re a Canadian small-business owner, you’ve got some good news coming your way. Starting today, you are eligible -- and encouraged! -- to take your first step toward enhancing your online presence. To help Canadian businesses get online, the GYBO.ca team will provide the following resources:


Free and easy website hosting

Free web address

Free online marketing advice and tools

To read more about the GYBO.ca program and about how you can take advantage of these tools, please visit our website.


Posted by: Chris O'Neill, Managing Director Google Canada

Next Up: Madison, Wisconsin

[Cross-posted from the Hotpot Community Blog]

We’ve been focused a lot over the past few months on raising awareness and spreading the word about how Google Places and Hotpot can help people discover great places and help businesses get more customers in the door. Today, we’re excited to announce a new addition to our quickly growing group of cities taking part in this campaign: Madison, Wisconsin.

With its large student population, growing tech community — including the Google office that opened in 2007 — and rich heritage surrounding small businesses, the capital of Wisconsin is an exciting addition. We’re really looking forward to working with the more than 15,000 local businesses in the area, helping them to get noticed on Google using our free suite of tools as part of Google Places.

In addition to having a dedicated team that will work with local businesses throughout Dane County, we’ve also begun mailing Google Places starter kits to thousands of local businesses in the area. These kits include instructions on how any business can claim their free Place page, as well as some samples of materials to help business owners encourage their customers to rate and review them on Google.




For those businesses who are already “Recommended on Google,” we’ll also be distributing our NFC-enabled window decals. These allow users with NFC-enabled devices, such as the Nexus S, to tap their phone against the decal and see all the information about that business.




As part of this launch, we’ve also partnered with the Greater Madison Chamber of Commerce to offer a series of workshops beginning in early April that are open to all chamber members and will focus on step-by-step instructions and counseling on how Dane County businesses can make sure they are effectively managing their presence online. If you’re interested in attending, please contact your Chamber of Commerce representative.

Posted by Jeff Aguero, Local Marketing Team

It Could Be You

I get quite a few emails every day from blog readers and students. I'm going to post one of them today, cutting out the personal parts. This guy made a plan and then executed it, coming out CP at the other end. Was it easy? Probably not, as we all know, but with a structured plan and methodology, it could be you.

Tom,

I wanted to email and thank you for the contributions that you have made to your blog, and, specifically, for your replies to my comments.

Though I have been trading for about 15 years in my long-term account and short-term trading for 10 of those years, it was only in the last 5 that I decided to transition to full-time trading. I've been a successful software development project manager for a little over 20 years, but I'd grown weary of either being the boss or working with one...... I knew that I wanted work that I could do from anywhere, and that would challenge my curiosity for years to come.

So I began to plan my leap. I won't go into all the details, but it involved transitioning first to a job with smaller development teams, then to a part-time consultant/part-time trading, then, finally, to full-time trading. It was within that transition that I found your blog (among others). Learning to understand your style while creating my own trading plan resulted in many "a-ha" moments for me. Risk management, decisions based upon incomplete information, understanding how complex systems might devolve into chaos--I saw echoes of skills from my previous career in your writing and in your work, and I admired your experience and your generosity with advice.

I'm still in my infancy as a trader, but thanks to your reminders to keep trading simple and profitable before moving forward, back-testing until I'm confident that I understand my strategies, and trading my plan, I feel more and more confident in my interpretations of the daily flow. I'm consistently profitable, and I'm beginning to increase the number of contracts that I trade.

I've attached a screen print of my trades today. I have a partially automated notification/entry system, but my screen looks like a Xmas tree compared to yours. I tend to think in icons and color, so I try to take advantage of that....

Thank you, again, and thank Kiki, as well.  I hope everyone is your family is well.

Getting mails like this one more than make my day. Trading successfully is life changing. Good on you Jeff!!


I've posted Jeff's chart below.

Senin, 28 Maret 2011

La Grippe

I have a sore throat and a cold that started on Friday, so I'm taking it easy. In Europe, many people call this La Grippe. 


Be that as it may, Flo has made life a lot easier. In pre-Flo days I would have missed out on earnings on days like these, because if I didn't feel 100% I just didn't trade. Thanks for that Flo. BTW, it helps that Flo's algo has been synchronised with my trading style.

Jumat, 25 Maret 2011

Friday on My Mind, Again

I don't have a lot to say today. The sun is shining ouside and I'm heading out with the dog to walk around the farm a little. Trading was boring in the morning (London time) but the afternoon was cool. Just two good trades and I am finished. Identify the trend and join it on a pull back.

Kamis, 24 Maret 2011

Stayed at the Dance Too Long?

As a discretionary trader, one of the decisions I have to make is how long to trade a trend. Remember that my trend is the trend of the chart I am trading, none other. Once I have identified the trend, I trade in its direction with inside-out trades.

My style of trading is to trade the peaks to troughs and then re-enter in the direction of the trend - I only trade outside-in trades when I can lean on support or resistance and identify a turn in the order flow - so I have to continually decide how far into the trend I should trade. I've written about the fact that I start being very watchful after the this trade and often I'll pass on more than that unless its a clear trend day.

It was interesting to test this idea with Flo. I can control how far into a trend she will trade- it depends on how I enter. There are lots of entries in a trend and the answer to the question is not the number of trades, but the number of bars and the aggressiveness of the trend. This is where the Hybrid Trading comes in. I can throttle Flo but I can also release her to trade longer in a trend. Using Flo in this Hybrid way has added a lot of power to my trading. 

The fact that I can make changes on the fly has become a big part of my trading. I find that I need to make fewer manual interventions if I make changes in Flo's setup before I start for the session. I have an idea of volatility and can make the necessary changes which means she can work well on her own. Today's ES in RTH is a good example. It was easy stress free and relaxed trading. I started Flo and sat there and then turned her off when I decided to stop.


Had I seen anything going wrong, I could easily override but the idea is to have the setup right and how to do that is a separate learning experience.

Rabu, 23 Maret 2011

It was Easy

When I woke up, the overnight ES was down about 5 handles. I had a look at the DAX Profile and saw the second distribution of yesterday sitting on the zipper (row of single prints) of the day before.

It wasn't hard to see that the trade was to sell the break of yesterday's low and then "ride the zipper".

As it turned out, it was even easier. The DAX opened and ticked up to the VAL of yesterday's second distribution and then rejected it.

SOLD!

Then it was BAU (business as usual), scaling out. The DAX is a pretty awesome contract with far from the same liquidity as the ES, so I didn't have that many bullets. There was good action in the first hour before the European stock markets opened.

After the stock markets opened there was a nice retrace back to yesterday's VAL which allowed me to reload and scale out to the bottom of the zipper.

Then the Gap trade kicked in. Once we got near to the bottom of the zipper, the move was over and I was looking for what was next. Seeing the Gap kick in took a bit of looking, but by running a second set of Profiles based on the stock markets opening and closing times it was MUCH easier to see.

Finding a vision to trade is important for me, as I have said a number of times. Even if my vision is wrong, it doesn't matter because what does not happen is often as important as what does happen in discovering the real order flow.

Selasa, 22 Maret 2011

Trading a Quiet Market

Today's first half of ES RTH was quiet again. I traded with a different style to yesterday, as the action was different.


There were really just two trades: the first was selling yesterday's VAH at around 1294.25 and the second was selling today's DVAH at around 1293.50 coinciding with yesterday's POC. Range extended down so shorts were what I would look for now if I was still trading, but by selling a rally.

Senin, 21 Maret 2011

Ping Pong

Most new traders try and fade the market, trying to pick tops and bottoms without really having anything to use as a yardstick to make their decisions. They put the position on and then if the markets tick against them, they panic and run for cover.

On the floor, our job was to fade the market most of the time. We provided the liquidity to take the other side of peoples' trades. But to survive, I had to learn to pick my trades.

Once I can see that the market is in a tight range, I play what I call ping Pong. I fade the price by buying and selling the extremes of the "waves". Market Profile can help a lot, as does reading the order flow through volume delta and momentum. Additionally, I have used the keltners and even VWAP bands. If I'm too early, I can either let the market move against me within my stop out point or in some instances, I double down. Of course when the market finally breaks, and it always does in one direction or another, I have a losing trade and being able to recognise that loser early enough is useful.

Today was Ping Pong day in the ES RTH.

Minggu, 20 Maret 2011

Plans Modified....

My Son had work to do this weekend and could not go to FAR.

I chose to cancel rocket testing this weekend and work on my GPS project.
I got the Rakon GMM8652 based front end working.
So now that I have a fully working front end the real work starts.

I'm currently routing the raw data into an FPGA , but instead of doing the processing there I'm just using that as a path to record the data. Recording raw data records (4M bytes/sec) and post processing with the FASTGPS open source software GPS program on a PC.

Next Step do the corelator processing in the FPGA. I have that verilog code written, but its mostly untested at this point.
Rough order of events:

  1. Prove the RF and FPGA hardware works. (done)
  2. Get one correlation channel tracking one sat.
  3. Get 6 or more channels tracking sats.
  4. Calculate position, velocity, time (PVT) based on this tracking data.
  5. Add data delay buffer and feedback from IMU data to aid loop tracking.
  6. Fly the thing.
I will probably take a detour that that records raw IMU and GPS data on some flash memory,
and fly that so we have a good raw data set to use for testing and simulation.

Jumat, 18 Maret 2011

Markets can stay "irrational"...

Yes, markets can stay "irrational" a lot longer than I could stay solvent. Yesterday I shorted the ES into the Gap trade well before RTH. It just looked too expensive in the light of the news coming out. Loss of discipline, trying to trade on "fundamentals" rather than what I am seeing in the order flow. I had to double down to get out of it. Happily, sanity returned quite quickly and I ended up making a tick. That was luck and counting on luck to make trading profits is an easy way to make a small fortune out of a big one.


It's almost 5am in London when I'm writing this part of the blog. Just woke up and can see the ES in orbit again. There was intervention overnight by the BOJ and the Nikkei is up 2.69% at this moment. I'm not shorting, at least until I see something real in the flow that tells me to. Flo is turned off until her algo wakes her up for the trading sessions that she has backtested to be profitable for her. Flo doesn't know the news and can't see tsunamis or earthquakes or how traders react to them. She does see the footprints of the order flow and walks in them.


People can't understand why the Yen is so strong and there is lots of money being made and lost in the confusion. Trying to sit on the two horses of fundamentals and technicals usually results in falling between them. The position I am putting on is for the next few minutes. Confusing the trend I am trading and a larger fundamental trend would be a big mistake. As I always say, trade the trend of the chart that you are watching - and that should be just one chart.


NB: I have just heard about some great back testing support for MarketDelta from the great people there. You can find it here. We learnt from it, so I highly recommend it. We're working on adding more context sensitive stuff to the Flo algo which can be done using the MD RTL.

I have a nice but small basket of markets I am trading. The star today was the T-Note - ZN on most quote services for the electronic version. I used to trade T-Bonds in the 1980s, but that market has been exceeded in volume by the Notes as mortgages get redeemed much earlier and these markets are used for hedging.


With Flo, I am able to adjust the aggressiveness of my entries and can measure the strength of the trend. Pretty cool. As you can see, I trade all the markets in the same way. All the charts look the same and that's how it should be.

BP Development Expert Views


Expert Views on the Value of Business Plans
As an assignment in the Business Plan Development class within the Masters of Entertainment Business program at Full Sail University, we ask our students to select two experts in the field of developing and evaluating Business Plans; and document their positions on the creation and use of a Business Plan.
Michael Koch and Steve Burhoe are the course directors and between them they have over 60 years experience in business, business analysis, and the development of business plans.  Mike’s background is in finance with a variety of companies including AT&T; and Steve’s is as an independent consultant who has developed over 75 business plans for startup companies in the US and abroad.
This blog site is a selection of experts identified by our students and their backgrounds and positions on the importance and use of Business Plans for new or existing companies.  The positions range from high importance to no importance, but their reasons for their positions are important to the budding entrepreneur.
We will be adding to the site as new experts and positions emerge from the business community and their opinions make us go ‘hummmm that’s an interesting way to think about business plans’.
According to Dictionary.com (n.d.), a business plan is defined as “a detailed plan setting out the objectives of a business, the strategy and tactics planned to achieve them, and the expected profits, usually over a period of three to ten years.” Also, the term plan is defined as “a scheme or method of acting, doing, proceeding, making, etc., developed in advance (Dictionary.com, n.d.).”  It is important to understand the definition of these concepts, as it will help to shape your objectives as it relates to researching and preparing your business plan.

JAY TURO and DAVE LAVINSKY, GROWTHINK
Jay Turo and Dave Lavinsky are Co-founders of Growthink, the country's largest strategic advisory and investment banking firm. Together they have formed a team of expert financial consultants who have successfully secured funding for countless businesses and entrepreneurs.
As co-founder and CEO, Jay Turo has spent the last 10 years advising and managing business clients. He has worked with all types of companies from new emerging small businesses to multi-million dollar corporations. Turo specializes in private equity investing and entrepreneurship. His speeches, interviews and writings have served the needs of many emerging entrepreneurs.  Interestingly, Turo is also a noted and respected angel investor.
Dave Lavinsky, Growthink’s Co-founder and President, is internationally known for his work with business planning, capital raising, and new venture development. He too has done numerous speaking engagements, articles, interviews and, as of late, a blog on entrepreneurship, business planning and funding. Lavinsky is also responsible for Growthink University, an institution created to assist entrepreneurs and business owners through the process of raising capital for their businesses.
According to both Turo and Lavinsky, there are ten key components that investors are looking for in a business plan: Executive Summary, Company Analysis, Industry Analysis, Customer Analysis, Analysis of Competition, Marketing Plan, Operations/Design and Development Plans, Management Team and the Financial Plan. Understanding and applying information to satisfy these components can make the difference between whether or not a business will be funded.
The Executive Summary brings the entire plan together. It is a 2 to 4 page synopsis that outlines the key points in the business plan. As stated by Lavinsky, “The Executive Summary must communicate to the prospective investor the size and scope of the market opportunity, the venture's business and profitability model, and how the resources/skills/strategic positioning of the Company's management team make it uniquely qualified to execute the plan” (Lavinsky, 2010). The Executive Summary is often the first thing an investor will read, so it has to be compelling as it shows the investor how the business will work.
The Company Analysis gives a general idea as to what the company is about.  “It describes how the company is organized, what products and services it offers/will offer, and it goes into further detail on the company's unique qualifications in serving its target markets,” (Lavinsky). The Company Analysis is the foundation for the company.
The Industry Analysis is the breakdown of the business’s industry. It assesses the market by examining the industry development, successes, failures, economics, etc. In line with the Industry Analysis is the Customer Analysis. It evaluates the customers that the business serves. This section allows the business to identify its target demographics and their needs.
Another key component that falls in line with both the Industry and Customer Analysis is the Analysis of Competition.  This section identifies the businesses competitors. It also assesses their strengths and weaknesses while highlighting what makes the business better. 
The first five key components are important because they are, often times, the only part of the business plan that an investor will read. If the invested is not impressed by these five components it is likely that he/she will not continue to read the business plan. If successful the next five key components can secure the deal.
Strategy, marketing, company operations, financials and manage make up the final key components. They breakdown just how the business works and how it will succeed. The first step in that success is marketing.
The Marketing Plan explains how the business will reach customers. It describes the company product and/or service. The component also addresses the promotion plan, product/service pricing, and all other areas dealing with marketing.
The Operation/Design and Development Plan’s primarily focus is on the process for developing the product or executing the service. Closely related to this process are management and the Management Team component, which simply states and qualifies the people responsible for the successful execution of the work.
The Financial Plan involves the money. It breaks down the company’s revenue.  “The financial plan assesses the amount of capital the firm needs, the proposed use of these funds, and the expected future earnings,” (Growthink, 2010). The Financial Plan follows the money closely. It is also the area that shows the company’s profit. Investors pay very close attention to this area, because they want to know how their money will turn a profit.
The last key component is the Appendix. This area is reserved for material that supports the business plan. This can include; financial projections, support letters, industry and/or competitor reviews, cliental and/or customer lists, etc.
It is crucial that these key components are considered carefully when preparing a business plan, as they are key to successfully securing an investor. But the secret key is to think like a funder when preparing a business plan. Turo says, “When creating your financial projections, think about how the funder will perceive them” (Growthink, 2010). Ask yourself, what type of return will the funder be looking to receive?  What types of things will pique an investor’s interest? These are the type of answers that a consultant can assist you with, so Lavinsky suggest that entrepreneurs should definitely speak with a business plan consultant.
Consultants can also help business owners avoid common business plan pitfalls. Sometimes a business plan can get noticed for the wrong reasons. Business owners should avoid these pitfalls. The key is to learn how to create a business plan long before you begin writing one.
Two common pitfalls are professionalism and lack of information. For example, presentation is important when it comes to professionalism. Do not include colorful paper or fashion forward graphics, fonts and artwork on the cover sheet. This is unprofessional and it is the quickest way to get your business plan discarded. Do not avoid explaining your financial assumptions, and do not try to convince funders that you have no competition. According to Growthink, “The most attractive plan to an investor shows a large potential market for the business's products or services and that there is a need that the business is particularly poised to satisfy,” (Growthink, 2010). So, entrepreneurs should find a large market with a need and provide a service or product to fulfill it.
Both Turo and Lavinsky agree on the ten key components. These components lay the foundation for a strong business plan. They are the mechanisms that assist investors in making a decision about whether or not to invest.  Other experts agree with Turo and Lavinsky as well. All business plans templates provide some version of these ten components.  Entrepreneur and author Cavyl Stewart agrees as well. He states,” Like a good recipe, a business plan needs to 
include certain ingredients to make it work. When you create a business plan, don't attempt to recreate its 
format” (Cavyl, 2004). If you follow the steps, utilize the key component and present investors with a great idea; you will gain their attention.
The Growthink partners provided some very useful information, much of which we will apply to the Kai Productions/Reel Walk Cinema, LLC business plan. As filmmakers and visual people, our first instinct is to want to make the cover of the business plan eye catching. We have learned that this is a definite pitfall. Funders don’t want to see how creative you are in your business plan. They mainly are interested in two things, information about your company and how the business will make them a profit. One other important understanding that we will apply to our business plan is completely developing the 10 key components. Investors are interested in complete concise explanations, not wordiness and under explored components. Therefore, we will be sure to provide the necessary information to address all of the key components. Last, the partners at Growthink have convinced us that it is necessary to seek advice from professional business plan consultants, and that we will do.

DAVE LAVINSKY
The first business plan expert I have chosen is Dave Lavinsky, founder of Growthink and president of Growthink Publishing. Dave is a successful entrepreneur. He has developed more than 100 business plans, has won the Anderson School at UCLA’s Knapp New Venture Competition, helps many companies plan for growth, and wrote a business plan for KeySpan Energy Services which went from nothing to more than $1 billion worth of revenue in under 3 years. His MBA is from UCLA, a Bachelor’s from the University of Virginia.  Married with 2 kids, he lives in New York City. (Growthink.com, 2010)
Mr. Lavinsky states in his article Key Components of a Business Plan that there are ten key points to address in a business plan. These are Executive Summary, Company Analysis, Industry Analysis, Analysis of Customers and Competition, Marketing Plan, Operations and Development Plans, Management Team, Financial Plan, and Appendix. In his video presentation titled “How To Quickly & Easily Finish Your Business Plan In 8 Hours or Less”, he details some of what he believes to be the most essential elements of a good business plan that many people do not include. These are:
1. A one-line summary of what your company does - This cuts right to the chase of the matter and helps potential investors know exactly what they are doing. Dave says he has sat on many panels hearing pitches and many times it is unclear to the investors what the company does. For this reason, he stresses the importance of this element.
2. Financial Model – A summary of finances, how and when investors will be paid back, and sales projections are essential to the success of a business plan.
3. Risk Mitigation Milestones – For every milestone your company achieves, the risk of investing diminishes significantly. Investors want to see an action plan to prevent the potential for failure.
4. Your unique qualifications for success – Dave says this is the most important component investors want to see. Personal qualifications and ideas such as a great marketing campaign must be included so investors know they can believe in you personally. This helps build confidence in the success of the investment.
In this video presentation he also mentions a few things not to do in a business plan. These include wasting your money on business plan software and using sample business plans. Software often ignores the key components he emphasizes, and sample business plans distract your focus from customizing your business plan to highlight your own strengths.   Dave says 90% of all business plans do not include the fourth component, unique qualifications, and it’s a big reason they don’t do very well. He stresses you must include your qualifications throughout the entire document to emphasize your strengths and abilities as a businessperson, and build assurance for investors they will see a return.

DAVID E. GUMPERT
One expert, who has written several articles over the years, is David E. Gumpert. Gumpert is a graduate of the University of Chicago, Columbia University, and Harvard’s Business School. He worked as an editor at Inc. Magazine and the Harvard Business Review. Also, he worked as a staff reporter at the Wall Street Journal (Davidegumpert.com, n.d.). He authored many books on business and entrepreneurship. According to Gumpert, the business plan should be created based on it intended objective. In other words, if the individual is looking to attract investors, then the business plan should be tailored to meet the preference of the investor. He stated:
“If you are searching for funding...the first requests you'll receive is this: "Send along your business plan." Before you hang up the phone or acknowledge the e-mail, you may want to ask one question: What kind of business plan do you want me to send...Just keep in mind that whatever type of document you send, it must do more than simply describe your business—it must also sell you and your business and convince the backer you have what it takes to make the business succeed over the long term (Businessweek.com, Jan. 2008).”
It is vital that if you are seeking additional funding from investors or banks that you understand them completely. You can do this by researching their previous ventures or reading articles are statements they have released. Like Gumpert said it is the job of the entrepreneur to sell themselves, the business venture, and the potential success in the amount of time, space, and energy the investor is willing to spare. Another important principal put forth by Gumpert is to “burn your business plan! (Entrepreneurship.org, n.d.).” Basically, Gumpert puts forth the notion that entrepreneurs should not be focused on crafting a business plan in the beginning. Gumpert stated:
“Increasingly, though, I am convinced that the key to the success of most young businesses is to ignore all the venture capital statistics and admonitions to write business plans, and instead use all the creativity and diligence you can muster to tend to your business. Put another way, you should be doing, rather than writing about what you will do (Entrepreneurship.org, n.d.).”
Gumpert explained that the primary focus of an entrepreneur is to build their business and allow it make a name for itself.
David Gumpert, author of several business books including Burn Your Business Plan!, and founder of NetMarquee, Inc., also knows the importance of a well-crafted plan.  However, Gumpert believes writing a plan is not the most crucial step in building a successful company.  Gumpert’s advice is “Act, Don’t Plan” (Gumpert, 2003, paragraph 13).  Even with all the emphasis placed on a well-written document, his experience has shown that investors actually want to see “companies that don’t necessarily need the funds” (Gumpert, 2003, paragraph 4).  The truth is that venture capitalists are presented with countless “great ideas.”  Companies, though, are not built on ideas, but with passion, determination, and hard work.  Starting to build your dream, even without desired financing in place, is an important step.  If you believe in your idea enough to push forward on your own, an investor sees determination.  Your plan must be well written and comprehensive, but words alone cannot showcase your passion.  As Gumpert’s own advisors said: when you are waiting for financing, “get out there and promote yourselves and make more sales” (Gumpert, 2003, paragraph 4).

DAVID GUMPERT (2)
David Gumpert is co-founder of the internet marketing firm NetMarquee.  Prior to this venture he authored two widely read books: Business Plans That Win $$$: Lessons from the MIT Enterprise Forum (with Stanley Rich) and How to Really Create a Successful Business Plan.  After selling NetMarquee, he incorporated some of the lessons learned in launching NetMarquee into his books.
As an entrepreneur, it is essential to find ways to build and grow your business without increasing debt.  This is more appealing to potential investors. It is important to establish a business plan; however, when seeking financing it is more advantageous to promote your business and establish solid sales.  In Gumpert’s experience, investors were more interested in financial projections covering various scenarios, than a business plan.  Gumpert argues that entrepreneurs should focus their company-building efforts on such tasks as creating a web site that communicates their business model, obtaining publicity, keeping the finances under control, and making sales before thinking seriously about writing a business plan (Gumpert, 2010).
There are five key components to developing a business plan. It includes (1) the Executive Summary which communicates to the investor the business’s relative size and scope as well as the venture's business and profitability model; (2) the Company Analysis which details the company’s strategic direction as well as the products and services it offers; (3) the Industry Analysis which assesses the market segments as well as provides the investor with detailed industry trends; (4) the Analysis of Customers and (5) Competition which convey the company’s ability to meet the demands of its customers, and assesses the competitive landscape, respectively (Growthink, 2010). 
Another key component that must be conveyed in the business plan to the investor (a soft skill) is ‘passion.’  The entrepreneur must be passionate about his new venture.  It is a catalyst to his success and will keep him focused and energized through the challenges and disappointments.
Pitfalls in preparing the business plan:
Business conditions vary day to day.  A detailed business plan is conceptualized and in many instances, based on projections (requiring quite the investment in human resources). This can render the most detailed plan void. 
In Gumpert’s case, the business plan provided no value to him, nor to the growth of his company. The actual plan, which was not written, assumed much slower growth with a focus on decreased debt and expenses, contrary to the written business plan.  Establishing solid tasks that produced measurable results did: enhancing the sales strategy while tightening the reigns on expenses, and aggressively pursuing accounts receivables.  Action spoke louder than words.  “You should be doing, rather than writing about what you will do” (Gumpert, 2010).

SIMONE BRUMMELHUIS
Another expert in the field of investing in new business ventures is Simone Brummelhuis. She was an attorney for several years until she turned to entrepreneurship and eventually founded The NextWoman, the first Women’s Internet Business Magazine and community (TheNextWomen.com, n.d.). Brummelhuis echoed the sentiments of Gumpert when she stated “spend most of your planning time creating one (executive summary) that gives the facts and shows your business in its best light (TheNextWomen.com, Aug. 2010).” In plain English, spend your time crafting a plan that is highlighting your business and results in the most positive manner. Also, she stated,
“Meanwhile, entrepreneurs who spend just a few weeks creating a concise plan with an outstanding executive summary have spent their time more wisely. They are giving most investors what they want: fewer attempts at planning the unpredictable – and more evidence of the action they have already taken to build or sell something of value (TheNextWomen.com, Aug. 2010).”
The key point of her statement ”...evidence of the action they have already taken...” She points out that your business plan should reflect the steps already in progress to make a successful business. Similar to Gumpert’s approach, Brummelhuis put forward that you business plan should be based on what you have already done.

FRED S. STEINGOLD
Mr. Fred S. Steingold is an attorney that practices in Ann Arbor, Michigan. He is regarded as an expert in small business law. Steingold has written several books on topics ranging from writing business plans to purchasing existing businesses and all the way through selling your business. Steingold writes a monthly column called “The Legal Advisor” which is available through trade publications nationally (Steingold 2011).
Steingold believes that all portions of the business plan are crucial for the success of a new business, but specifically targets the financial forecasts as the single more important. He compares a business plan to a blueprint, if there is not careful planning when entering into a venture such as starting a business, there are bound to be a lot of key elements that are overlooked in the process and you can doom the project from the start. Simply put, “Without a business plan, you leave far too many things to chance” (Steingold 2011).
Steingold believes that solid financial forecasts are not only important for the success of a business, but even more important for companies who are seeking start-up capital from outside investors or loans. Strong financial projections “will help you decide if your business is worth starting, or if you need to rethink some of your key assumptions” (Steingold 2011) and that is obviously a very important benchmark to reach before starting your business; how fiscally feasible it is.
Steingold finds a lack of strong financial projections as a chief pitfall in preparing an effective business plan. Having a novel and solid idea for a business only goes so far if it can’t make money, because that is ultimately what’s required to keep that company going. Especially if you need outside funding this is a must, because your investors need to know that they are putting money into something that will provide a substantial return on that investment. If it doesn’t look like that’s possible, many investors won’t risk their time and money on it. It brings to mind what Jason Singleton stated in his interview on Professionalism about the idea that if you can’t represent yourself positively and professionally, how could you represent someone else in that manner (Bishop 2009). If you don’t take the time and care required to ensure that your company is going to make money, why would someone else trust you with their money?

JIMMY LEWIN
With over three decades of international business investment banking experience, Mr. Jimmy Lewin is exceedingly knowledgeable about what investors are looking for in a business plan. He is currently the Managing Director of a California based company that provides small business owners with advice on their practices, specializing in financial projections, business plans creation, and strategies for finding their venture (Lewin Linked In).
Lewin holds the same opinion of financials, that they are an important way of gauging whether or not your business can be successful. Lewin also feels that the market dictates the value of your business, not you, so that must also be taken into consideration when writing a business plan. He cites three main categories of qualifying your business: hard numbers, soft figures and intangible assets. Hard numbers are things like historical records of sales, liabilities, cash flows. Soft figures are projected cash flow and income figures. Intangible assets are things like intellectual property, brand strength, quality and location.
As discussed in the previous paragraph, Lewin cites the inability to qualify your companies place in the market as one of the major pitfalls in creating a business plan, and subsequently starting a business. “The value you place on your business may not be what the market values it at.” (Lewin) There must be inventory taken on what market void you’re filling, if there’s a reason it hasn't been filled already, whether making money is possible in the location you’ve chose for your company, if your brand has enough strength to hold up your business idea, and several other factors.

STEINGOLD and LEWIN
One major thing Steingold and Lewin agree on is that it’s not the value that you place on your idea that is important, it’s the value that the market and the customers place on it that is what keeps your company healthy and in business. Obviously for getting your company financed, there is a need to convince your investors of the company’s relevance and the potential to make money with it. This relates to all of the other portions of the plan where each section is meticulously laid out, from marketing the company, to having competent employees and management to represent the company, to having a solid expansion or exit plan.

MAUREEN BURKE
Maureen Burke has been advising entrepreneurs for over 13 years as a consultant, and is also a Lecturer at The Yale School of Management and The Yale School of Forestry Studies, where she advises on non-profit business plans.  Ms. Burke worked on Wall Street as a bond trader prior to her academic career.   In her lecture, “How to Write a Business Plan,” given at The Yale Entrepreneurial Institute in 2008, she identifies key elements of a good plan.  Certainly, good grammar and writing skills demonstrate intellect and attention to detail.  Ms. Burke underscored the importance of a concise plan that is not weighed down with irrelevant research or lengthy description. An entrepreneur should know their product and target market inside out, but an investor is not interested extensive research.  On the contrary, the investor needs to see the road forward – how you make will make money, how you will market your product, and, eventually, how you will exit the company.   For example, details of your management team’s experience should only include relevant information. Don’t include details about your executives’ undergraduate degrees, for instance, if they aren’t applicable. An investor only has a limited amount of time to read your plan. On the other hand, Burke noted that the marketing sections of business plans she reviews are often too vague.  “Maybe people think that products sell themselves,” Burke mused.  Of course, they don’t.  Existing products are already clamoring for a share of the market; investors need to see how your product will attract attention and make the sale.  Another good tip Ms. Burke shared in her lecture is to constantly be evaluating your Marketing Plan, and then channel your funds to the most profitable channels.  A business plan is an idea conceived, but the plan can only be successful through application and review.

WILLIAM SAHLMAN
William Sahlman is currently the Dimitri V. D'Arbeloff, which is a Chair position at Harvard Business School honoring a 1955 Harvard Business School graduate by the same name. Sahlman began his college experience at Princeton University, receiving an A.B. in Economics.  He then went on to Harvard, where he received an M.B.A. and a Ph.D. in Business Economics.  With his strong educational experience he began and currently focuses on entrepreneurial endeavors and the financial and investment decisions they make for their company. Sahlman is Senior Associate Dean for External Relations at Harvard Business School and is also a member of several boards of directors or board of advisors of private or non-profit companies.  This makes Sahlman unique is his expertise and numerous publications on business plan techniques. 
Mr. Sahlman’s most notable publication on business plans is a publication he wrote 14 years ago for the Harvard Business Review titled “How to Write a Great Business Plan.”  From this publication, the critical and key components to a successful plan are The People; The Opportunity; The Context; and Risk and Reward.   He does a great job at describing each component and its importance to the overall plan.  The people are obviously important because they make up the organization.  Individual talent and expertise as well as teamwork are essential to a successful company.  The Opportunity is important because the specific market needs to be both expanding and attractive to the company.  The Context is important because it needs to tie all aspects of the business plan and the awareness that the market can change dramatically and without notice, and the company has to respond accordingly.  Risk and Reward is how the company plans to adjust to the three other components. 
Mr. Sahlman also warns about the biggest downfall to business plan writers, which is simply arrogance.  He states in his article a simple way to think about the business plan as a whole.  “A plan must demonstrate mastery of the entire entrepreneurial process, from identification of opportunity to harvest.  It is not a way to separate unsuspecting investors from their money by hiding the fatal flaw.  For in the final analysis, the only one being fooled is the entrepreneur.” (Sahlman, 1997). 
When asked in an interview conducted in 2008 when Sahlman’s article has been issued in book form, Sahlman mentioned the importance of a global plan.  “We live in a world of democratized access to ideas, human capital, and money. There are fabulous global ventures being started in every corner of the globe. These ventures can raise money locally or globally. They can disperse talent in many countries.” (Silverthorne, 2008)  Many business aspects have changed since Sahlman first published “How to Write a Great Business Plan,” but the general concepts are still important and relevant for any perspective entrepreneur.

MICHAEL PORTER
Michael Porter is also a faculty member of Harvard Business School.  He is currently the Bishop William Lawrence University Professor, which is the highest faculty recognition that can be awarded at Harvard.  He is a leading authority on competitive strategy, which makes him an expert in the realm of business plan development. 
Mr. Porter is an expert on corporate strategy, and in his book On Competition, he highly suggests and reiterates the need for companies to stand out from their competitors.  He demonstrates the importance of leadership within the company as well as corporate social responsibility.  He explains this through a diagram, which is also displayed in the references section of this paper.  Porter describes how competitive forces drive the rivalry of existing companies.  These forces are powered by: the threat of entrants, the bargaining power of suppliers, the bargaining power of buyers and the threat of substitute products or services.   This is critical to not only a business plan, but also when the business launches and in the first few years of existence. 
The threat of entrants is when companies launch into the industry with new and innovative ideas.  “New entrants to an industry bring new capacity and a desire to gain market share that puts pressure on prices, costs, and the rate of investment necessary to compete.” (Porter, 2008)  The bargaining power of suppliers is when companies need to negotiate with other companies regarding things such as labor and raw materials.  The bargaining power of buyers is when companies need to negotiate with the customer regarding prices and incentives to buy their product.  “As the factors underlying the power of suppliers and buyers change with time, their clout rises or declines.” (Porter, 2008)  The threat of substitute products or services is probably the most important, as buyers and customers can decide if they want to utilize a certain company which can influence the companies performance.  When analyzing companies competitors, one must not equally research these forces, but prioritize and pay attention to the important ones.  This is what Porter believes to be a severe pitfall.

DAVID LEE and RON CONWAY
David Lee is a General Partner at SV Angel. He recently was involved on a panel of professional venture capitalists at the TechCrunch 2010 Disrupt in New York. His company focuses on funding ventures that deal with fusing technology and entertainment.  Before partnering with Ron Conway, Lee was with Google and StumbleUpon where he led the business development aspects of both companies.
The second individual I have chosen to focus on is Ron Conway who is David’s partner at SV Angel.  He has been an Angel Investor for over 15 years.  Some of his companies he has helped fund include Google, eBay and Tweetdeck. 
Core and fundamental facts are always essential no matter what the proposed business is.  There are a number of ways in which a presentation that is being pitched to an investor can be creative, but at the end of the day it is essential the information is available.  Also it is imperative that the information is able to justified, in an order that makes sense and is neat and without errors.  A first impression is lasting and therefore it is key to have a fully professional and thorough plan.
Another key to having a successful plan is having a back-story that engages the investor into why you are so passionate about the plan.  If you as the creator of this new business don’t show a passion or can provide a way for the investor to somehow connect tactically to the plan how can it be expected that they would want to invest in your company if you show no invested passion in it.
David Lee also expresses how important it is to have a clear understanding of what it is that you as a business owner want for your company to accomplish.  Having a true understanding of what you are selling to an investor is crucial in getting them on board.  Otherwise if you don’t know what you are talking about or not being prepared you will wind up failing more times than not.
Not having enough Data. Lee expresses in his panel interview on Techcrunch.com that no matter how much attention is paid to the pitch or the presentation, if the data is not available or is inaccurate the business plan is not going to get funded.  He expresses that it is great to have attention grabbing presentations but no substance still is just that, no substance.
According to Ron Conway, one major pitfall he sees is when an entrepreneur needs the VC for more than just funding but rather hand holding. Also so often there are plans that are pitched without being truly vetted or developed. For him it is so crucial that all the planning is done before hand. He does not want to be in a place where he has to do any legwork to ensure his investment is going to be worth anything.  This goes back to the data as related by David Lee. So often an entrepreneur will develop an idea but not the whole concept. They will be able to pitch a vision and can’t back it up. Or they develop a business plan and it’s not complete or it’s based on something that requires extra work to prove its viability. So in a nutshell it is essential that as a business plan is being developed it is not rushed and the concept is fully expressed to show it’s a viable investment.
There are several key similarities between both David Lee and Ron Conway is that they both realize that risk is present. They also know that because there is an inherent risk in funding a start-up there must always be a clear and concise plan.  They both do not want to be bothered with plans that are not truly developed. They both do not want to have to deal with figuring out anything or having to be relied on for additional resources. In other words, they are in the business of finding new companies and vetting them then funding them. They expect that the entrepreneur will be responsible for fulfilling the needs of the plan.
They also see that the age of being an angel investor or a venture capitalist has come. Though the ability to be the financial backer has been around for a long time, they feel that there are more and more opportunities that are coming present with the ever increasing technology that entrepreneurs are engaging in. 

PHILIP SCHLEIN
After a near 30-year career as an Operating Executive in the retail industry, Philip Schlein joined USVP in 1985. Prior to joining USVP, Mr. Schlein was President and CEO of Macy’s California. In his time there, he helped their sales grow nearly a billion dollars in only 11 years. He has also served on the Board of Directors for Apple Computer. Mr. Schlein has a B.S. in Economics from the University of Pennsylvania.
The Management Team is a very crucial aspect of the business plan according to Mr. Schlein. (2009) This is so because the product pitched may not be that great, but the management team behind the product could be and would greatly improve the good product. This aspect of the business plan can make or break a plan from taking form into an actual business or just another idea.
The Business Model is also very important because the investors do want to know how a business is going to earn income, and where is the revenue going to come from. Most investors are now looking at five-year plan with the first few years being fairly detailed, giving room for the last few be educated ball park figures of where the business could potentially be at.
Lastly another top key component for a business plan is the product itself. Mr. Schlein says he does not want to invest in a product that is not a need, it cannot be just nice to have; there must a “need-to-have” aspect for this product. (Abrams, 2009) A product could be good, but all other aspects of the business plan have to fully support it and make it be as successful as the business plan encourages.
Mr. Schlein also says that market size, competition, and how much money it will take to gain a potential acquisition are very crucial keys he looks at when viewing a business plan. (Abrams, 2009)
A few pitfalls frequently noticed by investors when creating a business plan are the length, making the business plan a “team effort”, and design of the business plan.

GUY KAWASAKI
Guy Kawasaki worked at Apple Computer starting around 1980 and in 1987 he left Apple to start a few small businesses that developed software. However, in 1995 Mr. Kawasaki returned to Apple Computer as an Apple Fellow. After a few years he left Apple and started his own company with a few others called Garage. Garage provides matchmaking services for angel investors and entrepreneurs. Now he is a partner at Garage Technology Ventures and is also cofounder of Alltop, an online magazine rack. Mr. Kawasaki has also authored nine books. Guy Kawasaki has a B.A from Stanford University, M.B.A. from UCLA, and is also an Honorary Doctorate from Babson College.
There are several critical and key components that investors are looking at when evaluating a business plan. The Executive Summary, Management Team, Business Model, and Product are the main four areas that are strongly observed by investors.
According to Mr. Kawasaki (2006) a business plan developer should spend around 80% of their time working on the Executive Summary. It is encouraged to spend so much time working on this component because many times it is the very first piece of the company the investor views. If the investor does not like what they see they will not want to view any other part of the business plan.
Many investors do not want a 50 or 60 page business plan including the appendix. The key number of pages is around 20 to 30 pages, anything more than business plan loses a lot of its effect on the investor. Kawasaki even outlines how many pages each critical section should be and with that done he has only one page per section with eleven sections, giving the business plan developer half of their plan complete. (2006) Many investors find that potential businesses usually feel the need to elaborate their plan in hopes that the length means they instilled much effort into completing the plan.
One person, preferably the CEO or founder of the potential business should be the person completing the business plan. Many investors find that this is often done as a team project and writing styles differ along with information and style of the presentation. This hinders the project especially if the business plan is just copy/paste and some editing. If one person writes the entire plan is knows it verbatim, then that is all that is needed.
Finally the design and presentation format of the business plan can easily be a turn off for a potential investor that could look at the cover and not want anything to do with it. Many investors find that a cover that is too “fancy” shows that the developer has too much time on their hands and should be in design and not writing business plans, unless however the “fancy” is part of the business and shows the creative influence of the business plan. Investors want a professional look to a business plan. They want a plan that is nicely formatted and is clear and concise.
Mr. Kawasaki feels that the Executive Summary is the number one aspect of viewing a business plan, while Mr. Schlein wants to know more about the Management Team. Respectively both sections of the business plan are the very top priority for each individual, but they differ in priority for these two gentlemen. They also differ in the value of a Business Model and the Product. Mr. Kawasaki says the Business Model is more important to him than the product, however, Mr. Schlein feels the exact opposite. Both of these are very critical aspects of the plan, however, they as well differ in priority.

GUY KAWASAKI (2)
Dr. Guy Kawasaki was born in Honolulu, Hawaii. He attended Stanford University, earning a BA in psychology. He then earned an MBA from UCLA, and later received an honorary doctorate from Babson College. After college, Guy worked for a jewelry company counting diamonds. Later, he obtained a job at Apple through his college roommate. Upon leaving Apple, he started a Macintosh database company, and then started Fog City Software. In 1995 he returned to Apple as an Apple Fellow. During that time his job was to maintain and rejuvenate Macintosh’s cult following. Again, he left Apple to start his on company. This time he started Garage with Craig Johnson of Venture law Group and Rich Karlgaard of Forbes. This company sought to provide matchmaking services for angel investors and entrepreneurs. Today, it is focused on being a venture Capital firm and making direct investments in early-stage technology companies. Currently, he is the managing director of Garage Technology Ventures. He is also the author of seven books, including The Art of the Start, Rules for Revolutionaries: How to Drive Your Competition Crazy, Selling the Dream, and The Macintosh Way.
 Kawasaki stated in The Art of The Start (2004) several components that a business plan should possess in order to catch an investors eye. First, one must build a business. By doing this, it will make investors clamor to give money to the business, or show that the business does not need their money. Next, he advised business plan writers to get an introduction. By this he meant having the business introduced by sources that the investor respects. These sources include current investors, lawyers and accountants, other entrepreneurs, and professors. This will give the business plan writer an edge that may be the difference in receiving and not receiving funding. Further, Kawasaki gave a list of items that can contain flaws that would result in rejection by investors. The areas are: intellectual property, whereby the risk of lawsuits exist inside company; the capital structure, where ownership is spread out over founders, and substantially overpriced or underpriced previous rounds; the management team, consisting of married or related co-founders, un-qualified friends, or team members with a lack of industry experience; stock offerings, where there is a grant of stock instead of stock options to consultants and vendors in lieu of payment, common stock sold to friends and relatives at high valuations and solicitation of investors not qualified according to securities laws; regulatory compliance, where there is evidence of noncompliance with state or federal laws/regulations, and nonpayment of payroll taxes.
In the preparation of a business plan, Drs. Timmons and Kawaski each mention certain pitfalls that should be avoided. Timmons, Spinelli, and Zacharakis advised in Business Plans That Work (2004), that statements in the plan need to be supported with data, and, that data is easier presented in graphic visual form. The source of the data, methods and assumptions used, need to be included in the plan. These items assist in effectively articulating the business opportunity to stakeholders. Other pitfalls include starting the Industry Analysis section with a description of the company. He stated that this section should focus on highlighting a space or gap that is underserved. Doing this will create a stage to introduce the company. Further, the target customer should be examined in detail using demographic and psychographic information. Finally, Dr. Timmons advised to acquire an understanding of what the market place values and key success factors. 
Dr. Kawasaki pointed out several pitfalls concerning the preparation of business plans. He stated that naïve entrepreneurs seem to believe that a business plan will produce an awestruck reaction followed by the question: “Can you send me wiring instructions for the money?” This leads to writing the plan for the right reason. Next, he mentioned that most entrepreneurs try to perfect their plans then produce PowerPoint slides from it. This is described as making the plan the basis of acquiring investors, and later, developing the pitch. He advised that a good business plan is a detailed version of a pitch as opposed to the pitch being a distilled version of the business plan. Other pitfalls include exceeding twenty pages in length, selecting more than one person to write the plan, and not including the assumptions that drive the financial projections.
Dr. Kawasaki’s view in The Art of the Startup is that a business plan is of limited use for a startup because it is based on assumptions. The two do seem to have agreed upon the fact that writing a business plan is beneficial to the entrepreneur in gaining knowledge regarding their business venture.

SCOTT POLLOV
“Scott brings more than fifteen years of combined experience in planning, developing, financing, marketing, and managing entrepreneurial and real estate based ventures both as a principal and a consultant” (http://www.bizplanit.com/about-us/our-team.html). Scott has managed or supervised over six hundred strategic business plan consulting engagements for companies in nearly ever industry and stage of development. Wow. This guy seems like he has done it all. It seems like is the business plan guru.
Scott has proved to be a dominant force in the business world. One of the reasons why he is so successful is because he believes in social marketing planning. This is quickly becoming one of the most, if not the most, efficient way for a small business to advertise themselves and reach larger target markets. Scott advises that social marketing should be a top priority for any business that is looking to build its identity and compete with other businesses in their desired industry.

PHILIP C. HOLLAND
Philip C. Holland is the original founder of the Yum Yum Donut Shop, Inc back in 1970. While under his ownership the Yum Yum Donut Shop, Inc franchise became the largest privately owned chain of doughnut shops in the entire United States. In 1992, Mr. Holland founds My Own Business, Inc., in an effort to share his knowledge and experience with everyone. By August 2000, MOBI or My Own Business, Inc. reached worldwide with the utilization of the internet. Since that time, Mr. Holland educated many entrepreneurs worldwide and written many articles starting businesses.
Mr. Holland has various key or critical components any new business owner should know and be aware of prior to embarking on the journey to start there own business. Mr. Holland believes the most important decision you can make when starting your own business is defining your market. As choosing the wrong market, can spell defeat long before your company even gets off the ground. Additionally, Mr. Holland believes it is vital for you to create an outline of your business plan in order to give you an understanding of your economic prospects and as a potential tool to test the marketability of your business with potential clients. Lastly, be very thorough in your business plan as you will gain a better understanding of what you expect to accomplish and how to adjust accordingly with your strengths and weaknesses.
In regards to pitfalls to avoid when writing a business plan, Mr. Holland suggests not falling into the trap of estimating really high sales or anticipating lower than realistic costs to business in your financials. As this information, can highly affect your creditability when dealing with investors, and possibly lead you to request inadequate financial funding. Additionally, do not try to bury your weaknesses as projecting them in detail and indicating how you will work around them or improve will increase your overall chances to not only receive financing but to have a successful business. Finally, do not get ahead of yourself with a flashy business idea, if you can attempt to test your business plan out beforehand to judge its feasibility.

GRAHAM SMALL
My expert on business plans is a corporate lawyer based out of Manchester, England name Graham Small. Graham Small has served as partner for numerous law firms throughout England including DWF, Rowe Cohen and now at Lewis Hymanson Small. Mr. Small has also been featured in many business articles discussing his opinions on what aspects of a business plan are important, and which you should leave out. Which is understandable due to his over 20 years of law experience, and reviewing more business plans then many could even imagine.
One of Mr. Small’s major gripes with many start-up entrepreneurs is a lack of discipline when preparing a business plan for investors. In his article “Business plans: the dos and don’ts” on BusinessWings.co.uk he indicates the numerous amount business plans he has had to review in some form or fashion over the years. And he goes on to say “Many are poorly prepared and don’t make sense. This may sound harsh – but it’s true.” Another do Mr. Small points out is to include solid facts and figures within your business plan as all your projects must make sense. Additionally, Mr. Small advises new start-up entrepreneurs to put themselves in the banker’s position, what would you want to hear from someone wanting to borrow your money for a new business.
Mr. Small also has some don’ts he expects all new start-up entrepreneurs to remember as well, while writing their business plans for investors. Do not make assumptions about what or your banker/investor knows or does not know about your business. These individuals are likely faced with thousands of business plans every year ranging in any category, be straightforward and provide detailed facts to make there job easier. And just because you present a lot of nice fancy figures, does not mean you can forget to inform your investors how and when they will expect repayment of their investment. In the end, use common sense and if your plan make sense you should receive the financing you desire.

WILLIAM B. GARTNER
Mr. Gartner is a professor of entrepreneurship at the University of Clemson. He obtained his Ph.D. in Business Administration (Business Policy), his Master of Business Administration (Business Policy), and his Bachelor of Business Administration (Accounting) all from the University of Washington. Mr. Gartner has taught at: the University of Virginia, Georgetown University, San Francisco State University and the University of Southern California. He is the 2005 winner of the FSF-NUTEK Award for outstanding contributions to entrepreneurship and small business research. Mr. Gartner has been in the field of business since 1982 and has won many other awards for his contributions in the field and study of entrepreneurship. Mr. Jamie Fragola is founder, co-chairman and Chief Operating Officer of Project Consulting Group, founded in 1998 and is one of the fastest growing companies in Minnesota.
When experts and investors are looking at a plan that want to see that someone has done the proper amount of research and financials and that those financials can be “explained instantaneously” (Henricks, 2008). Gartner feels that professionals who are really seeking to start a business and show a dedication to that dream through the development of a plan for that business will also develop “more stuff” that can be further valuable to that organization (Henricks, 2008). Mr. Fragola feels that by developing this strategy for your business that the plan will “provide a crucial link between executive vision and the work of the enterprise” (Fragola, 2010). He also feels that this practice “promotes organized and repeatable processes by which organizations can link strategic plans” (Fragola, 2010). Most of the experts agree that without proper research a business plan is nothing more than “guesswork” (Henricks, 2008). With the proper research and development not only with an appropriate business plan be developed but a knowledge needed to negotiate and express those ideas that are in that plan to potential investors will be acquired. Also, in today’s environment a social responsibility movement is gaining momentum to re-establish trust in businesses. The social entrepreneur, has been gaining…attention” and through that attention many “top-ranked business schools” have taken notice (Tyson, 2004).  Therefore, not only must a potential entrepreneur have an extensive knowledge of what the financial benefit of the organization will be but also what benefit will it bring to the community as a whole.
As mentioned above, a proper knowledge of the information contained in the plan must be gained. If a portion of the income statement, balance sheet or cash flow cannot be simply answered; most experts agree that it shows a lot of guesswork and lack of knowledge in what is being presented. Also, plans do not need all the extra fluff and a 20 to 40-page plan is no longer required by investors as it once was (Henricks, 2008). Gartner states “investors want to see that an entrepreneur has actually examined the market for a product or service, identified potential customers, assembled a capable team, devised a business model and more” (Henricks, 2008).

JAMIE FRAGOLA
Mr. Fragola in his approach to business development looks at the organization of the plan as a way to use your resources wisely to save money and cut costs. However, Mr. Gartner’s focus is that a business plan is a way to gain capital in the formation of a corporation or as Sean Hackney, co-founder and co-owner of Roaring Lion Energy Drink, puts it “the core principles of what the business is founded on in such a way that the purpose would be finding money” (Hendricks, 2008). While their outcomes differ slightly, both of the experts agree on the importance of having a plan of action and that those steps show a commitment to the project that will normally push an individual to strive harder to gain that business. “You’re two and a half times more likely to get into business” if a proper plan is developed (Henricks, 2008). Fans of business plans and skeptics both area on one point: “securing funding almost always requires a formal plan” because investors want to see research and the hard facts (Henricks, 2008).

SEAN CHRISTIANSEN
The first person I interviewed is Sean Christiansen who is Chief Technology Officer at the University of Central Florida Venture Lab, a program, which provides business coaching, mentoring, and intellectual property assessment to early stage technology ventures.  He is a successful angel investor, having previously been involved with the Winter Park Angels, and is the current founder of Catapult Capital, a company that specializes in early stage investing.
The key components Mr. Christiansen touched on were barriers to entry, the market, and the management team. Barriers to entry are important because not only does it explain a company’s product or service, but also it “informs your investors on how you will prevent your competitors from taking away your customers” (Schwartz, n.d.).  According to Mr. Christiansen, barriers to entry go together with core competencies of the company. “Basically, they look at a company’s strengths and its expertise within its own market. These define the company, the product or service they offer, and their rank in the market” (Christiansen, 2010). Core competencies are what provide a competitive advantage in the market.    
Secondly, he looks at the market. This is the trickiest factor because sometimes the markets are not always there. He mentioned how some markets are great and fast growing like the application market for the iPhone, however, markets like real estate has become a taboo area due to the economy. He mentioned there are markets an investor cannot predict, such as the ringtone market or Google creating a market for search engines.
Finally, he looks at the management team and what they bring to the table. They look at the past experience of the start-up company’s members.  They research whether the management team previously failed and they see this as a good thing because it shows they are aware of their mistakes. Finally, they look at whether the company was given equity investments in the past and if they established exit opportunities for investors.

JACK HENKEL
Jack is currently the business development manager at UCF Venture Labs. He mainly vets the deals before they are submitted to investors. He graduated from UCF with a degree in finance and marketing. He then pursued a master’s degree at UCF’s one-year-full-time MBA program. Mr. Henkel and Mr. Christiansen are a part of the Angel Capital Association, and they hold regular angel investor workshops at UCF Venture Lab.
The key components Mr. Henkel looks at are due diligence and the management team. Due diligence is “the research required to make certain that a business opportunity is as promising as it seems” (Filbrich, 2008). Mr. Henkel feels that due diligence is key because angel investors are risking a lot when investing in a start-up. In order to show me how risky angel investing is, Mr. Henkel shared with me a study done by The Kauffman Foundation and the Angel Capital Education Foundation. The study looked at the largest set of accredited angel investors collected to date, with information on exits from 539 angels who experienced 1,137 exists from their investments.  The results showed “fifty-two percent of all exits returned less than the capital the angel had invested in the venture and seven percent of the exits returned more than ten times the money invested accounting for 75 percent of the total investment dollar” (Wiltbank & Boeker, 2007). The study concludes that more than half of the exits end up in returning less capital to the investor than what they invested, but also shows that those few really profitable and successful deals make up a large percentage of the total investment dollars.  Due to the risky nature of angel investing, Mr. Henkel wants to see that the companies coming to them did their research and did not just make numbers up. Mr. Henkel (2010) believes it is crucial because “in the areas of a plan where estimates need to be made, I am more confident in these educated guesses when it is evident that a business owner did their due diligence.”
Finally, he looks at the management team. He feels management is crucial because these are the people that you are really investing in. Since the management team are the people the investor is trusting with their money, an investor wants to see a knowledgeable team with past experience and a proven track record.
Both Mr. Christiansen and Mr. Henkel agreed that the management team is a crucial aspect of a successful business plan. Both thought it was key to look at the management teams past experiences, successes, and failures. They also agreed that a company must thoroughly research the market, their products and services, and their competition. This allows the company to understand where their idea fits in the current market and how it will fare against the competition. Finally, they both agreed in the most common pitfall they see which is an overly optimistic business plan. This comes in many forms, but they have seen business plans come to them stating that they have no competition whatsoever, essentially an owner feels their idea is so unique that they are the only option in the market. Also, they have reviewed plans where the business owner is too optimistic when it comes to their sales estimations and they do not do enough due diligence to see potential problems their business idea may face.

TARBY BRYANT
Tarby is the CEO and Chairman of a private equity capital company called Sweetwater Capital Corporation.  Sweetwater seeks to provide finance and capital to Entrepreneurs through events called “The Gathering of Angels”.  These events are held across the United States where private investors and entrepreneurs meet and seek investment opportunities.  They also offer counseling and advice to entrepreneurial companies and their management.  The mission of Tarby’s monthly meeting of private, high net-worth investors is to provide first stage “seed level and angel capital” financing to startup and early stage firms in addition to providing capital for growth and or expansion. 
There are several critical and key components that investors are looking for in a plan.  Mr. Bryant feels that one key component is competitive advantage.  He states, “ It is very rarely that an entrepreneur raises capital from private investors without clearly defining the competitive landscape of their business and how their business solution has a clear competitive advantage beyond others in the market” (T Bryant, personal communication, August 21, 2010).  Investors want to know the “barriers to entry” for your venture and how you will keep competitors from being in the same exact business.  In the investing world good ideas are abundant.  Bryant feels that the investors involved in “the Gathering of Angels” are impressed when a presenter has lined up potential customers who are willing to test or sample their product and commit to purchase or patronize it.  An entrepreneur who can demonstrate that they can create paying customers is far ahead in terms of funding from investors than the entrepreneur who simply has a business plan and idea.  Angel investors want to see that you understand your industry and have had some relevant experience. 
There are pitfalls these two investors have mentioned concerning the preparation of a business plan.  Mr. Bryant mentioned that investors have specific objectives as to the requirements of the ROI.  He also stated that many start up companies seeking initial capitalization often times have little or no expertise in that area resulting in critical errors.  He specified that the numbers must be clear, realistic and shows the chance of prosperity.    A realistic valuation and a reasonable assurance of return will go a long way attracting today’s individual investor (Worrell, 2003).

GREG ALEXANDER
Greg Alexander, the CEO of Atlanta Family Fun Centers.  Besides running his own thriving business for 18 years now, his secondary source of income is being a venture capitalist.  Mr. Alexander has invested in a number of Atlanta based businesses within the last ten years.  Greg plays an active role as investor from a local car dealership to a monthly-published magazine.  His portfolio is astonishing to view. Mr. Alexander, with every business he invests in, considers himself a “value added investor”.  He involves himself in every venture and takes an active role in the businesses.  He brings valuable knowledge about business itself, ability to mentor, creative ideas and contacts.
Mr. Alexander is very demanding when it comes to choosing to invest in a venture.  He has to be due to the fact that he is not only investing his own money but his family’s investment group’s money also.  When looking at business plans he must reduce his risk.  Key components that are important to him are first who will be managing the business and if they have a proven track record and adequate experience.  Another key component is what is the business’s competitive advantage and if there is a need for it. He requires that the business plan clearly show that research of competition has been done thoroughly and what strategy you have set up to contend with competitors.   Lastly and most importantly is the financial aspect of the plan.  He clearly wants to see the investment amount being asked, the offering and the ROI terms (G. Alexander, personal communication, August 20, 2010).  
Mr. Alexander has come across numerous business plans and the biggest pitfalls he has noticed is the lack of research and no plan B for expected changes.  He stated that a lot of business plans don’t have adequate research and fail to examine thoroughly the competition.  Every starting company should take their competition seriously.  That is one way a company can find information about what works and what doesn’t work.  What happens if something happens unexpected?   Every business plan should leave room for unexpected changes.  Mr. Alexander’s advice to this pitfall is to create budgets with flexibility and adaptability to change.    
Both experts, Bryant and Alexander, had similar opinions in regard to the value of a business plan.  Two aspects that were similar include the importance of examining ones competition and market.  They both also specified the accuracy of one’s finances and or numbers.  These opinions are very important to the development of any business plan.  Any investor who is interested in investing in a company will first take a look at the plan and see whether it is solid and strategic or not.  In my opinion true innovation and market penetration comes from what we don’t know.  Therefore the research of one’s market and projection of numbers propels us to success. 

WILLIAM D. ByGRAVE
Dr. William D. ByGrave is a professor emeritus at Babson College. He teaches and researches entrepreneurship; specifically, business incubation, new venture creation, small business, and venture capital.  Additionally, he has authored over 50 papers on the topic.  He won the 1997 Ernst & Young Entrepreneur of the Year award, and has served on the review boards of 3 entrepreneurship journals.
Like Gumpert, Dr. ByGrave promotes the importance of financial projections, specifically cash flows (sales revenue, operating expenses), and developing a solid sales strategy/establishing a customer base versus time spent writing a business plan.  In addition, he advocates the mantra “just do it.”  A study performed of Babson College entrepreneurs who graduated within a 19-year span concluded that there was no distinction in the success of businesses where formal business plans were developed versus those that didn’t write any.  Dr. ByGraves feels that entrepreneurs must be flexible.  An entrepreneur is more likely to follow a flawed business plan if he spent an inordinate amount of time writing it.  Dr. ByGrave challenges the level of emphasis that academia has placed on business plan development.
Unlike Gumpert who feels a business plan is not necessary, Dr. ByGraves concurs that a detailed business plan provides value to businesses that seek funding.  The business plan is a tool that assists in the funding process, and aids in the analysis, planning, vision, and communication of your business. It ensures that everyone is on the same page.  At the same time, it should be succinct.  The writing process should span no more than two weeks.

ANDREA COCKERTON
Andrea Cockerton founded Mudhut in 2005, a company in England that assists clients in presenting their business plans in various ways. Speechwriting, Investor pitches, Commercial pitches, and Communication Training are all services her company offers. She was a part of an organization called VBN, a software dot com company based out of Cambridge that was a predecessor to social networking sites like Facebook and LinkedIn. She has worked with clients such as Microsoft, and was a board member of the MIT Enterprise Forum of the UK from 2007 – 2008 (Linkedin.com). Following the demise of VBN, Andrea became a director of a significant business angel network. After seeing many presentations fall short of investor’s expectations and fail to gain funding, she started her company to assist entrepreneurs. Mudhut works with many different types of clients including technology, law, non-profits, the arts, and academics. In addition to Mudhut, she co-founded a company that teaches self-defense for woman called Brick Handbag. (Mudhut.com, 2010)
Andrea Cockerton says that the three most important points to mention in a pitch to potential investors are –
1. The target market that needs your product or service.
2. The team’s credentials and ability to follow through with the business plan.
3. How your product or service is innovative and groundbreaking.
She also says an effective executive summary and solid financials are the foundation of a good business plan, and you should prepare your plan in two ways: a brief ‘elevator pitch’ and a detailed presentation. She expresses the importance of focusing on the profitability of your company or product instead of exclusively presenting how great the idea is, or how innovative it is. Not all good ideas can sell, so she says it is more important to demonstrate the sales worthiness of your product or service instead of how great the product is itself. (Cockerton, 2010). She says most companies underestimate the amount of funding they will need and it is essential to be aware of current market trends and competition so your investors know you are prepared.

JEFFERY A. TIMMONS
Dr. Jeffry A. Timmons was one of the pioneers in the development of entrepreneurship education and research in America.  He was internationally recognized as a leading authority for his research, innovative curriculum development, and teaching in entrepreneurship, new ventures, entrepreneurial finance and venture capital.(Chmura, 2008)
     Dr. Timmons was born in Pontiac, Michigan and attended Colgate University. He then attended Harvard Business School where he earned the MBA and DBA degrees. Dr. Timmons was as a charter board member of the Kauffman Center for Entrepreneurial Leadership at the Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation. He coauthored more than 20 books including, New Venture Creation, 7th ed. (2007), and the 8th edition, 2008; Venture Capital at the Crossroads, with Babson Professor William D. Bygrave (1992), this book established him as a leading advisor to venture capitalists worldwide. He has co-authored Business Plans That Work (2004) and How To Raise Capital: Techniques and Strategies for Financing and Valuing Your Small Business (2005) with former Babson Professor Stephen Spinelli and current Babson Professor Andrew Zacharakis. Dr. Timmons passed in 2008. (jeffrytimmons.legacy.com)
Timmons presented entrepreneurs with tools to acquire venture capital investors. He described step-by-step plans to create the financial foundations necessary to achieve long-term success. According to Timmons, the critical and key components that investors look for include having significant competitive lead and unfair  & sustainable or defensible advantages, company’s product or service has high value added properties resulting in early payback to user; the product can gain exclusive contractual or legal rights; company has a large, robust and sustainable business model; the product will accommodate a $100 million entrant in five years; company presently has sales $200 million or more and growing at more than 25% per year; has no dominant competitor; has a clearly identified customer base and distribution channels.
     In the book How to Raise Capital (2004), Timmons, Spinelli and Zacharakis stated that the venture capital process occurs in mostly private, capital markets for new, emerging and middle-market companies. These companies have $5 million to $200 million in sales. The preceding components are key due to the perceived risks faced by investors; industry, market and attractiveness of the technology; anticipated growth rate; age and stage of development and amount of capital required.
In regard to the value of business plans, both authors hold varying views. As stated in the preface to Business Plans That Work, Dr. Timmons believed that the business plan is not just a tool to raise funds, but is a process that helps entrepreneurs gain deep knowledge about their ideas. The discipline that the planning process provides helps assess the nature of, and a way to exploit the opportunity.

PAUL GRANT
Paul Grant is the founder of The Funding Game and NextMentor in the Mentoring Program.  In his article, “Why Business Plans are Not as Important as you Think”, he discusses why a business plan may not be necessary to receive funding from investors.  He describes himself on Linkedin as an experienced entrepreneur who has founded a London based company through private equity and debt financing.  He catered business for corporate and retail markets for seven years and now assists many companies at early growth stages.  He was also a former director of Capital Partners where he headed up the business angel division.  Grant has been a passionate advocate for the small business owner and his company gives entrepreneurs an opportunity to network and to learn how to fund the early stages of their businesses. 
When Grant first started his company he spent nine months developing his business plan.  After being in a business for a few years he looked at his business plan and realized that it was totally different from the way his company had actually developed and grown.  He began asking business angels if they actually read business plans after he learned that few business plans were actually getting read.  He learned that a key component that investors are looking for in a business plan is the executive summary.  This is a key consideration because a well-written executive summary is how investors made their decision to meet an entrepreneur.  Once the investor meets with the entrepreneur they can examine how they interact with other company members and how they respond to further difficult questions.
There are several pitfalls mentioned in the article regarding business plans.  The first point that Grant makes is not to make business plan too long. He recommends that it should not be any more than 20 pages.  The reason given for this is that many investors do not read business plans.  So, it should be well defined, short and to the point.  Second, Grant recommends thorough research.  However, this research should not last more than a couple of weeks.  Grant believes that after about two weeks, the focus should be spent more on doing rather than planning.  Finally, Grant recommends paying special attention to the Executive Summary section when writing a business plan.  This can be a major pitfall if it is not well written.  Grant believes that this is the most important part of the business plan because it is what the investor will actually read if they want to invest in an entrepreneur’s company.

ANGELO MENEGUZZI
Angelo Meneguzzi’s experience ranges from marketing to product development and start-up companies. He specializes in offering expert consult on developing a business and marketing. With over twelve years of experience he has worked with Disney, Hummer Winbald, Upside Magazine, and ABC news (Bplans.com, 2010).
Deciding to open a business takes time, preparation, and experience. Generally the businesses people decide to open are the result of dreams they have had for a long time. Ideally, the business plan is something the individual is passionate about, and has experience in. However, the experience is something not everyone has. When it comes to opening a business without experience in the industry, Mr. Meneguzzi advises against it. Without experience he comments that the invested money will “vaporize before your eyes” (Meneguzzi, 2010). Not having any experience in the industry you wish to open a business in could be disastrous.
If the business plan is something that the founder or founders are indeed passionate about, it may be difficult for them to give up on their dream. There are ways to gain experience. Mr. Meneguzzi suggests working in the industry for a period of time to gain the understanding and knowledge of the industry to make a business successful. He advises to, “…learn this on their time not yours…” (Meneguzzi, 2010). Another option for gaining the necessary industry knowledge and experience is to bring an expert on board. An individual who has worked in the industry for a considerable amount of time and or has successful experience with start up companies within that industry could be the missing piece in having a successful start up business (Meneguzzi, 2010).
It is incredibly important to bring in expertise where the founding members lack it. Without the expertise necessary it will be incredibly difficult to procure funding for the project, and if funding is found somehow, it may be difficult to make the business successful. A failed start up business could lead to experiencing increased difficulty in future start up endeavors. In addition to having expertise on staff, it is important to seek counsel from industry experts as well. Getting multiple opinions allows the opportunity to see issues from multiple perspectives, and makes it less likely for something to go unnoticed. Seeking advice from experts that are not associated with the business allows for an objective opinion that can be invaluable to the business’ success (All Business, 2010).
 Start up business plans have the potential to be over zealous. A start up business that finds itself it multiple industries could find that it is stretched too thin. Mr. Meneguzzi asks a simple question, “Have you been successful in running a business in every one of the areas you want to touch on?” (Meneguzzi, 2010). Gaining the experience in each industry could take many years to complete. Hiring experts in each field definitely adds up quick. Mr. Meneguzzi suggests limiting the business plan initially, keeping it specific to the areas the founder is most familiar with. Once the initial start up is successful, gradually add the features as expansions to the business until the founder has reached the initial capacity they hoped for (Meneguzzi, 2010).
Along with being grounded in reality, having the necessary expertise to guide the business is imperative as Mr. Meneguzzi explains. It is unlikely that financial backing can be procured without the necessary expertise. However, with an expert on staff the business has a better chance of gaining financial support and eventual success. Keeping that in mind, it is also important to not overextend the business by trying to incorporate multiple industries in one business. Starting small then branching out as the business grows will be the best approach.

JEFFREY E. EDELHEIT
Jeffrey E. Edelheit has over 20 years of experience in the business industry. Currently, he aides his clients in forming a solid business plan that is grounded in reality. He believes that proper planning is crucial to the success of a business, but having unrealistic plans could be dangerous (Sustainable Business 2010, 2010).
Choosing the location for the business is a very important piece of the overall picture. While one location may be less costly to start up the business in, one has to take into consideration the local market. It is not just about the size of the market, but also the room for growth it may or may not allow. Mr. Edelheit advises to consider the amount of competition a location would offer. If there is competition in the area, chances are that there is a demand for the product in that area giving the business the opportunity to expand on the already established customer base. He also advises to choose a location that not only has a large potential customer base, but also one that has opportunity for repeat and expanding business, “which one is more likely to bring you the best exposure and chances of ongoing customer” (Edelheit, 2010).
A marketing plan is definitely a key ingredient to success for a start up business. Researching the target market will aide in tailoring the marketing plan to be as successful as possible. Marketing is not just about getting the word out about a new business in the area, it is also about informing or educating the market it is reaching. Mr. Edelheit suggests educating the target market on what your business uniquely offers to that your business is set apart from the rest (Edelheit, 2010).
Each of these experts offers advice that is important to keep in mind when starting up a new business. Following the advice of Mr. Edelheit, Simmer Down Brewery would like to build a realistic business plan. Having substantial market and industry research to base the business plan on with goals that are based on realistic limitations is a necessity. It is important to know the limits of the business with the available resources. This could be a piece that determines the success of the business.

THE SHARK TANK CREW
BARBARA CORCORAN
Barbara Corcoran is a Real Estate mogul who started with a $1,000 loan from her boyfriend to start a Real Estate Company in New York and turned it into over $5 billion in 25 years.  She has also written a national best-selling book about business called If You Don’t Have Big Breasts, Put Ribbons on Your Pigtails.
According to Corcoran, a great executive summary is a critical component of a successful business plan.  Most investors will not read the whole plan because they have so many other plans to consider.  If you answer the following questions in your executive summary, you are more likely to grab the attention of potential investors:  “What problem are you trying to solve?  Why are you uniquely qualified to solve it?  Is it a good business?  What’s it going to cost?  And how long is it going to take?” (Corcoran, 2009)
Corcoran has several ideas on what not to do in your Business Plan.  Two of the biggest pitfalls according to Corcoran are overestimating your company’s addressable market and downplaying risks (Corcoran, 2009).  Rather than presenting the total market size in your Business Plan, cite the revenue that a company could generate if they captured 100% of the market.  This shows that you know what to expect realistically.  Also, be practical when assessing your company’s risks.  The more honest you are with potential investors, the more they’ll respect what you are saying.
Corcoran’s emphasis of the importance of a great Executive Summary was the most important thing that I could have learned from this assignment.  It only makes sense that most investors will read that, and nothing more unless it really grabs them.  It is much like a movie trailer; if the movie trailer does not grab you, you will not see the movie.  It also made me realize the importance of the Company Snapshot.  It too provides a quick and easy rundown of your business, but at just one page long is even shorter than the Executive Summary, making it easier for an investor to glance over it to see if they are interested in even seeing the whole plan. 
Three of the first questions that all of the “Sharks” ask when entrepreneurs come on the show are: “What makes your product or service different,” “How much profit has it made so far,” and “Why is your company worth what you say it is?”  Corcoran and John have both asked these questions numerous times.  It is important to answer all of these questions in your Business Plan, and it is even more important to be honest about them.  According to John, some investments that look like they are set in stone on the show never happen because the data that is presented to the panel is skewed.

DAYMOND JOHN
Daymond John is the CEO and President of a clothing company called FUBU.  He got his start in the industry by making hats and selling them on the streets of Queens.  After making $800 in one night, he decided to add a logo to his garments: FUBU, meaning “For Us, By Us.”  Using $100,000 in startup capital, he launched his company in 1994, and by 1998, FUBU had made $350 million in revenues.  He too wrote a best-selling book; it is called Display of Power: How FUBU Changed a World of Fashion, Branding & Lifestyle.
According to John, branding is the most important part of a successful business plan.  The plan should be focused, and the business should be able to be marketed in a way that makes it stand out from all of the other similar businesses (Ribitzky, 2010).  Even if you plan on doing something that has already been done, a great marketing plan and good branding can make for a successful business.
John also indirectly mentions the importance of putting some of your own money on the line in his book Display of Power when he is talking about how difficult it was for him to get initial funding for FUBU.  He was $30,000 in debt and had no more money to contribute, so banks kept turning him down (John, 2007).  It only makes sense that if you are in debt and have nothing to contribute to you business venture, it looks bad to potential investors.  It not only makes them afraid that you cannot budget money effectively, but it also makes them think that you must not believe in your company enough to risk your own money.  Lesson learned: make sure to contribute to the funding of your business and add investments by principal that you have into your financial forecasts and assumptions.
According to John, one of the biggest pitfalls of a Business Plan is to overestimate the company’s present value (Wang, 2009).  This is especially problematic if you are seeking funding from an angel investor.  Too many times do pitchmen and women walk away from a deal on Shark Tank because they think their business is worth more than it really is, and they don’t not want to give up the equity required to get the funding that they need.
John’s emphasis on branding taught me that if you want to succeed in any business these days, you have to make people think of your product or service first.  He also mentions that you should look at yourself as being part of your brand. 
Three of the first questions that all of the “Sharks” ask when entrepreneurs come on the show are: “What makes your product or service different,” “How much profit has it made so far,” and “Why is your company worth what you say it is?”  Corcoran and John have both asked these questions numerous times.  It is important to answer all of these questions in your Business Plan, and it is even more important to be honest about them.  According to John, some investments that look like they are set in stone on the show never happen because the data that is presented to the panel is skewed.

KEVIN O’LEARY
Kevin O’Leary is most famous for his role on the ABC television show Shark Tank, a reality television show that puts business owners and entrepreneurs up against a panel of experienced and highly successful venture capitalists and businesspeople. O’Leary created and made successful SoftKey Software Products, an educational software company that was eventually sold to Mattel for $3.7 Billion.
     Kevin O’Leary counteracts David Gumpert’s opinion. “It's clear in how they described their business plan that they are the right people to execute their plan” (O’Leary, 2010). He states the importance of having the right people for the right job. O’Leary continues to say, “If you look at the strengths or the attributes of those that are successful there are three things; one is that they are able to articulate their vision in a very short period of time.” (O’Leary, 2010) Cohesion between the plan and the person is imperative to communicating the concept quickly and accurately, especially when seeking funding.
The experts seem to encourage a sense of optimism within realism. Being positive and having the correct attitude has more influence on investors then the actual written document.
O’Leary links several problems into one: overvalue a product and not having the right people for the product.